← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame0.13+0.78vs Predicted
-
2University of Michigan-1.39+1.56vs Predicted
-
3Marquette University-0.92-0.07vs Predicted
-
4Purdue University-2.12+0.65vs Predicted
-
5Michigan Technological University-1.37-1.39vs Predicted
-
6Marquette University-2.76-0.57vs Predicted
-
7University of Wisconsin-3.38-0.96vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.78University of Notre Dame0.130.5%1st Place
-
3.56University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
-
2.93Marquette University-0.920.2%1st Place
-
4.65Purdue University-2.120.0%1st Place
-
3.61Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
5.43Marquette University-2.760.0%1st Place
-
6.04University of Wisconsin-3.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cyrul | 52.5% | 27.1% | 12.8% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Glen Warren | 10.8% | 16.5% | 21.7% | 21.4% | 18.7% | 8.2% | 2.7% |
| Kai Suh | 17.7% | 26.5% | 21.6% | 18.7% | 10.8% | 4.3% | 0.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 4.0% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 24.2% | 25.4% | 9.9% |
| Alex Cross | 9.9% | 17.2% | 21.9% | 20.6% | 17.2% | 9.9% | 3.3% |
| Gabrielle McCall | 3.3% | 2.8% | 6.2% | 10.7% | 17.3% | 31.2% | 28.5% |
| Morris Salzmann | 1.8% | 2.0% | 4.1% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 20.7% | 55.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.