← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
7
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Notre Dame0.13+0.79vs Predicted
-
2Michigan Technological University-1.37+1.51vs Predicted
-
3Purdue University-2.12+1.63vs Predicted
-
4Marquette University-0.92-1.03vs Predicted
-
5University of Michigan-1.39-1.36vs Predicted
-
6University of Wisconsin-3.38+0.13vs Predicted
-
7Marquette University-2.76-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.79University of Notre Dame0.130.5%1st Place
-
3.51Michigan Technological University-1.370.1%1st Place
-
4.63Purdue University-2.120.1%1st Place
-
2.97Marquette University-0.920.2%1st Place
-
3.64University of Michigan-1.390.1%1st Place
-
6.13University of Wisconsin-3.380.0%1st Place
-
5.33Marquette University-2.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Cyrul | 51.6% | 26.6% | 15.5% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alex Cross | 10.6% | 17.4% | 21.8% | 22.6% | 17.8% | 7.4% | 2.4% |
| Henrik Stjernfeldt | 5.2% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 18.3% | 24.7% | 22.5% | 11.4% |
| Kai Suh | 18.4% | 24.4% | 21.8% | 18.1% | 12.7% | 4.0% | 0.6% |
| Glen Warren | 9.6% | 17.7% | 19.7% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 10.7% | 3.2% |
| Morris Salzmann | 1.5% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 4.9% | 10.7% | 21.7% | 56.5% |
| Gabrielle McCall | 3.1% | 4.6% | 7.9% | 9.6% | 15.7% | 33.3% | 25.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.