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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+2.28vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.76+3.92vs Predicted
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3Western Washington University0.99+5.43vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University1.14+2.91vs Predicted
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6University of Puget Sound1.26+1.43vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.02+1.49vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.15-3.12vs Predicted
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9University of Washington2.10-4.04vs Predicted
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10University of Oregon0.76-0.73vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.87-5.42vs Predicted
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12University of Oregon0.03-0.59vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.02-4.75vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.48-3.88vs Predicted
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15Western Washington University-0.47-2.19vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.56-3.13vs Predicted
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17University of Victoria-2.33-1.00vs Predicted
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18University of Puget Sound-1.82-2.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.28University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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5.92University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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8.43Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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7.91Western Washington University1.140.1%1st Place
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7.43University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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8.49Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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4.88Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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4.96University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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9.27University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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5.58Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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11.41University of Oregon0.030.0%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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10.12University of Washington0.480.0%1st Place
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12.81Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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12.87Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
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16.0University of Victoria-2.330.0%1st Place
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15.4University of Puget Sound-1.820.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 26.1% | 19.9% | 14.1% | 13.9% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 11.0% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 3.8% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 5.8% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 5.0% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 1.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 4.1% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 4.7% | 1.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 12.5% | 12.3% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 13.0% | 14.9% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.9% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 4.1% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 11.8% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 7.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Paul Foley | 9.0% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 11.6% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caitlyn Bryson | 1.9% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 14.3% | 16.5% | 13.9% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Debbi Kenote | 4.0% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 10.7% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Vane | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 0.1% |
| Meghan McDonald | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.0% | 6.4% | 10.5% | 18.2% | 22.7% | 13.3% | 3.4% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 10.2% | 14.5% | 23.5% | 15.1% | 4.2% |
| Giselle Hood | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 24.5% | 57.4% |
| Benjamin Greene | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 12.7% | 35.3% | 33.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.