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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+2.90vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.45+1.46vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.13vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-1.22vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+0.94vs Predicted
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6Queen's University0.62-2.77vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.21-0.88vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.83+0.66vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.36+0.44vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.70-1.52vs Predicted
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11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.46Cornell University0.450.2%1st Place
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4.13Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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2.78Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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5.94Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.23Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.12Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.66University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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8.48Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.84Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.0% | 19.1% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 7.2% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 18.7% | 16.4% | 17.3% | 17.0% | 14.9% | 10.9% | 3.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 12.0% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.8% | 19.5% | 14.1% | 8.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 26.8% | 23.8% | 18.4% | 14.7% | 10.1% | 4.6% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wynne | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 19.2% | 23.7% | 15.8% | 6.2% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 18.9% | 21.2% | 20.9% | 14.6% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 4.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 18.7% | 24.7% | 16.6% | 7.2% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 23.8% | 24.1% | 12.7% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 4.9% | 11.3% | 19.9% | 26.1% | 32.4% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 8.1% | 22.2% | 27.0% | 20.5% | 9.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.8% | 7.9% | 14.2% | 26.1% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.