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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01+5.03vs Predicted
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2Cornell University0.45+1.49vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96-0.23vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+0.12vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.62-1.82vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.21+0.29vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend0.24-3.33vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.83+0.68vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.70-0.47vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.36-0.62vs Predicted
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11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.03Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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3.49Cornell University0.450.2%1st Place
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2.77Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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4.12Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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3.18Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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6.29Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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3.67Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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8.68University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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8.53Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.38U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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9.84Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Wynne | 2.6% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 10.8% | 21.5% | 24.9% | 16.7% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 15.8% | 18.6% | 17.3% | 18.7% | 14.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 26.1% | 23.6% | 21.1% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 4.6% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 13.5% | 9.7% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 8.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 21.5% | 19.6% | 18.7% | 15.8% | 12.5% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 2.7% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 10.0% | 18.7% | 25.3% | 16.8% | 8.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% |
| Anthony Farrar | 15.7% | 16.5% | 16.1% | 16.1% | 17.2% | 11.4% | 5.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 8.9% | 21.1% | 24.5% | 23.5% | 12.9% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.3% | 20.5% | 27.9% | 20.5% | 11.1% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 2.5% | 6.1% | 12.1% | 18.6% | 28.8% | 28.8% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 15.2% | 23.3% | 46.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.