← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Penn State University0.96+1.72vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University0.62+1.23vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.14vs Predicted
-
4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+1.90vs Predicted
-
5Penn State Behrend0.24-1.18vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University0.45-2.49vs Predicted
-
7Colgate University-1.21-0.82vs Predicted
-
8University of Rochester-2.83+0.69vs Predicted
-
9Syracuse University-2.70-0.44vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy-3.36-0.60vs Predicted
-
11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
2.72Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
-
3.23Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
-
4.14Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
-
5.9Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
-
3.82Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
-
3.51Cornell University0.450.2%1st Place
-
6.18Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
-
8.69University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
-
8.56Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
-
9.4U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
-
9.87Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 27.1% | 22.9% | 20.3% | 16.3% | 9.0% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 19.7% | 20.3% | 19.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 11.2% | 12.2% | 14.3% | 17.3% | 18.9% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 2.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 3.8% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 23.1% | 22.7% | 13.8% | 5.5% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 14.6% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 17.3% | 12.7% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 16.8% | 18.8% | 15.4% | 18.9% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.2% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 10.4% | 18.1% | 26.1% | 16.2% | 7.9% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.9% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 8.9% | 21.4% | 24.4% | 23.7% | 12.8% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.0% | 8.2% | 21.5% | 27.9% | 20.4% | 11.2% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 5.8% | 12.4% | 18.2% | 29.4% | 28.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 3.8% | 7.7% | 15.2% | 23.1% | 46.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.