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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+4.88vs Predicted
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2Penn State Behrend0.24+1.84vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96-0.21vs Predicted
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4Cornell University0.45-0.40vs Predicted
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5Queen's University0.62-1.79vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-1.95vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.21-0.85vs Predicted
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8University of Rochester-2.83+0.68vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.36+0.44vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-2.70-1.49vs Predicted
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11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.15vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.84Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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2.79Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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3.6Cornell University0.450.2%1st Place
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3.21Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.05Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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6.15Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.68University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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8.51Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.85Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Elliott | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 13.0% | 21.4% | 24.6% | 14.0% | 4.1% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 13.3% | 14.1% | 18.2% | 16.2% | 17.3% | 11.6% | 7.4% | 1.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 26.2% | 23.8% | 19.5% | 14.0% | 10.0% | 4.8% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 16.8% | 16.0% | 15.7% | 19.7% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 4.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 21.9% | 19.7% | 17.5% | 15.7% | 12.2% | 8.6% | 3.8% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 11.9% | 14.3% | 15.1% | 15.8% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 8.5% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.7% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 24.9% | 17.7% | 7.6% | 1.9% | 0.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.8% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 9.1% | 20.5% | 24.5% | 24.0% | 12.7% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 4.3% | 11.2% | 20.1% | 26.2% | 32.4% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 22.3% | 27.8% | 20.5% | 9.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 3.8% | 7.8% | 14.6% | 26.1% | 44.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.