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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+2.90vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.62+1.18vs Predicted
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3Cornell University0.45+0.57vs Predicted
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4Penn State University0.96-1.24vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-0.97vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-0.04vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.21-0.86vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.70+0.48vs Predicted
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9University of Rochester-2.83-0.24vs Predicted
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10Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.10vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.36-1.67vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.9Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.18Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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3.57Cornell University0.450.2%1st Place
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2.76Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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4.03Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.0%1st Place
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6.14Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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8.48Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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8.76University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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9.9Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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9.33U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 11.6% | 15.3% | 15.3% | 19.0% | 17.6% | 13.3% | 5.2% | 2.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 20.3% | 21.0% | 19.4% | 15.4% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 3.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 16.1% | 16.3% | 18.5% | 17.8% | 13.7% | 11.3% | 5.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 27.5% | 22.6% | 19.5% | 15.3% | 9.3% | 4.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 12.8% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 15.4% | 18.8% | 13.9% | 8.2% | 2.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Wynne | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.2% | 20.6% | 24.3% | 13.8% | 6.2% | 1.6% | 0.3% |
| Jack Pearlson | 4.8% | 4.0% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 11.9% | 15.8% | 25.2% | 18.6% | 6.8% | 1.9% | 0.3% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 4.5% | 11.2% | 23.0% | 22.9% | 21.6% | 10.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 7.1% | 18.3% | 26.1% | 23.6% | 14.9% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 3.4% | 8.4% | 15.1% | 20.9% | 49.1% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 2.6% | 6.0% | 11.1% | 22.2% | 30.3% | 24.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.