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📊 Prediction Accuracy
81.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Queen's University0.62+2.23vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+2.00vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96-0.21vs Predicted
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4Penn State Behrend0.24-0.07vs Predicted
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5Cornell University0.45-1.55vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.21+0.35vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-1.01-1.17vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.70+0.50vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.36+0.44vs Predicted
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10Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.14vs Predicted
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11University of Rochester-2.83-2.38vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.23Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.0Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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2.79Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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3.93Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.45Cornell University0.450.2%1st Place
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6.35Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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5.83Rochester Institute of Technology-1.010.1%1st Place
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8.5Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.44U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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9.86Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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8.62University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nicola Gilmour | 19.5% | 19.3% | 19.0% | 18.1% | 13.2% | 7.8% | 2.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 12.0% | 14.0% | 15.1% | 17.8% | 16.5% | 14.4% | 7.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 25.7% | 25.0% | 19.7% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 13.6% | 13.4% | 14.3% | 18.5% | 17.6% | 14.3% | 5.4% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Schmitt | 18.8% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 16.3% | 15.9% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 2.7% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.5% | 16.5% | 28.1% | 18.1% | 7.9% | 2.4% | 0.6% |
| John Wynne | 5.3% | 4.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 11.6% | 20.0% | 23.0% | 14.9% | 5.3% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 4.5% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 25.7% | 21.6% | 10.3% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.4% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 4.3% | 10.6% | 19.5% | 29.6% | 30.2% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 3.5% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 22.0% | 47.5% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 4.9% | 10.0% | 20.0% | 25.2% | 23.2% | 11.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.