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📊 Prediction Accuracy
83.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.78vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.62+1.29vs Predicted
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3Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.13vs Predicted
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4Cornell University-1.69+3.55vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.21+1.65vs Predicted
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6Hamilton College0.21-1.99vs Predicted
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7Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88-1.04vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend0.24-4.14vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.36+1.24vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.83-0.58vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-2.70-1.69vs Predicted
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12Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.78Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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3.29Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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4.13Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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7.55Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
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6.65Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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4.01Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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5.96Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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3.86Penn State Behrend0.240.2%1st Place
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10.24U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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9.42University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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9.31Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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10.79Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 27.0% | 23.9% | 19.7% | 13.2% | 9.7% | 4.1% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 18.8% | 20.9% | 19.5% | 14.9% | 11.9% | 8.8% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 13.8% | 9.7% | 16.5% | 16.6% | 14.7% | 15.3% | 9.2% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nikhil Damji | 1.1% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 6.3% | 9.4% | 16.1% | 21.1% | 19.1% | 12.6% | 4.2% | 1.1% |
| Jack Pearlson | 3.1% | 3.7% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 10.0% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 21.6% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 2.1% | 0.1% |
| Alan Becker | 13.7% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 16.2% | 17.8% | 11.6% | 8.0% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 15.7% | 20.8% | 13.9% | 9.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Anthony Farrar | 15.5% | 16.2% | 14.8% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 12.7% | 7.3% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 13.6% | 18.8% | 28.9% | 26.4% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 10.0% | 17.0% | 25.7% | 21.2% | 12.0% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 1.2% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.0% | 12.0% | 19.9% | 22.1% | 19.5% | 11.7% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 12.3% | 23.1% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.