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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
12
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State Behrend0.24+2.96vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.62+1.23vs Predicted
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3Penn State University0.96-0.28vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.88+2.06vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.21-0.99vs Predicted
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6Rochester Institute of Technology0.13-1.85vs Predicted
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7Colgate University-1.21-0.47vs Predicted
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8U. S. Military Academy-3.36+2.23vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-2.70+0.25vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.83-0.57vs Predicted
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11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-0.18vs Predicted
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12Cornell University-1.69-4.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.96Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.23Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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2.72Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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6.06Rochester Institute of Technology-0.880.0%1st Place
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4.01Hamilton College0.210.1%1st Place
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4.15Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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6.53Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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10.23U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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9.25Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.43University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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10.82Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
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7.61Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Anthony Farrar | 14.0% | 13.8% | 14.9% | 16.6% | 17.9% | 11.8% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 20.2% | 21.3% | 17.6% | 16.2% | 12.0% | 7.8% | 3.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Barrett Lhamon | 29.0% | 22.7% | 19.7% | 12.9% | 9.8% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josh Elliott | 4.1% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 10.4% | 11.7% | 16.9% | 17.8% | 16.6% | 8.3% | 3.0% | 1.1% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 12.9% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% | 7.6% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 12.4% | 13.9% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 14.8% | 8.5% | 4.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 3.5% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 20.2% | 18.7% | 12.5% | 5.9% | 1.1% | 0.4% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 11.7% | 15.4% | 29.8% | 27.8% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 20.5% | 25.1% | 18.5% | 9.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 16.3% | 26.4% | 21.6% | 11.6% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 10.8% | 23.0% | 50.4% |
| Nikhil Damji | 1.5% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 9.1% | 16.5% | 20.2% | 20.8% | 12.9% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.