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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
4.4
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida3.29+8.67vs Predicted
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2Boston College3.50+6.78vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.45+6.01vs Predicted
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4Eckerd College2.90+6.97vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island2.90+6.04vs Predicted
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6Harvard University3.38+3.10vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University3.39+2.04vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston3.78-0.74vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College3.71-1.42vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.45-0.92vs Predicted
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11Dartmouth College3.23-1.09vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland3.80-4.36vs Predicted
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13Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.95-2.23vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont2.86-3.01vs Predicted
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15University of Pennsylvania2.34-1.62vs Predicted
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16Tufts University3.65-8.05vs Predicted
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17U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-7.46vs Predicted
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18Yale University3.28-8.70vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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9.67University of South Florida3.290.0%1st Place
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8.78Boston College3.500.1%1st Place
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9.01Brown University3.450.1%1st Place
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10.97Eckerd College2.900.0%1st Place
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11.04University of Rhode Island2.900.0%1st Place
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9.1Harvard University3.380.1%1st Place
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9.04Old Dominion University3.390.1%1st Place
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7.26College of Charleston3.780.1%1st Place
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7.58Connecticut College3.710.1%1st Place
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9.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges3.450.1%1st Place
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9.91Dartmouth College3.230.1%1st Place
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7.64St. Mary's College of Maryland3.800.1%1st Place
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10.77Massachusetts Institute of Technology2.950.0%1st Place
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10.99University of Vermont2.860.0%1st Place
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13.38University of Pennsylvania2.340.0%1st Place
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7.95Tufts University3.650.1%1st Place
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9.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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9.3Yale University3.280.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abby Featherstone | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 4.3% |
| Emily Maxwell | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 3.0% | 2.1% |
| Emily Dellenbaugh | 6.0% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 4.9% | 4.1% | 2.3% |
| Emilie Mademann | 3.8% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 5.0% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 10.2% |
| Bethany Leonard | 3.9% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.5% | 10.4% |
| Elizabeth Powers | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 4.2% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
| Morgan Wilson | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 2.3% |
| Shannon Heausler | 9.1% | 10.1% | 8.5% | 5.6% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Atlantic Brugman | 7.3% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 1.8% | 1.0% |
| Kelly Crane | 6.6% | 4.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.0% | 2.9% |
| Chandler Salisbury | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 7.7% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% |
| Megan Magill | 8.1% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.2% |
| Katii Gullick | 4.1% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 5.8% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 9.4% |
| Alexandra Arntsen | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.3% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.4% |
| Emma Kofmehl | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 13.6% | 25.9% |
| Margaret Tautz | 7.0% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.0% | 4.2% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 1.3% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 4.1% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 3.6% |
| Rebecca Jackson | 5.6% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.