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📊 Prediction Accuracy
63.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Western Washington University1.81+2.07vs Predicted
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2Western Washington University1.33+1.95vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.83-0.10vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University0.31+1.94vs Predicted
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5University of Washington-0.36+2.58vs Predicted
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6University of Oregon-0.40+1.59vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon0.11+0.29vs Predicted
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8Oregon State University-0.27-0.47vs Predicted
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9University of Oregon-0.98-0.23vs Predicted
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10University of Washington-0.28-2.67vs Predicted
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11University of Washington1.07-6.95vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.07Western Washington University1.8123.9%1st Place
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3.95Western Washington University1.3314.5%1st Place
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2.9University of Washington1.8325.1%1st Place
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5.94Western Washington University0.316.3%1st Place
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7.58University of Washington-0.362.7%1st Place
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7.59University of Oregon-0.403.0%1st Place
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7.29University of Oregon0.112.9%1st Place
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7.53Oregon State University-0.273.4%1st Place
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8.77University of Oregon-0.981.5%1st Place
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7.33University of Washington-0.282.5%1st Place
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4.05University of Washington1.0714.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
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Leif Hauge | 23.9% | 22.1% | 18.1% | 14.4% | 9.8% | 5.9% | 4.0% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Adam Turloff | 14.5% | 15.4% | 16.0% | 15.8% | 14.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
Benjamin Stone | 25.1% | 23.8% | 18.6% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.0% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Ellie Blakemore | 6.3% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 10.9% | 13.9% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.5% |
Jaxon Gordon | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 16.1% | 15.4% | 13.5% |
Rowan Clinch | 3.0% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 10.8% | 13.1% | 14.4% | 15.6% | 14.5% |
Emily Avey | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 13.4% | 14.1% | 13.8% | 11.2% |
Cassius Tossavainen | 3.4% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 14.8% | 14.1% | 15.8% | 13.2% |
Euseekers Williams | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 6.8% | 10.3% | 12.9% | 17.3% | 34.2% |
Alice Meng | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 14.7% | 14.4% | 10.4% |
Lucien Freemesser | 14.2% | 13.5% | 16.0% | 16.0% | 14.1% | 11.7% | 7.9% | 4.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.