Race 9A

sodus-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.9%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Barrett Lhamon 29.2% 24.2% 19.7% 15.0% 7.9% 3.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nehuel Armenanzas 13.6% 14.0% 16.3% 17.7% 16.7% 14.1% 5.6% 1.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Nicola Gilmour 19.7% 20.9% 18.7% 17.2% 14.1% 6.5% 2.7% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Anthony Farrar 13.6% 15.5% 15.1% 19.5% 17.8% 10.8% 6.1% 1.4% 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Nikhil Damji 2.5% 2.6% 3.5% 3.7% 8.2% 13.9% 22.7% 21.3% 14.3% 6.2% 1.1%
Alan Becker 14.3% 15.2% 18.5% 16.0% 16.7% 10.7% 6.7% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
Jack Pearlson 4.3% 4.8% 5.2% 7.4% 11.0% 24.6% 20.2% 13.9% 6.4% 1.7% 0.5%
ADRIAN DRAKES 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 1.1% 2.9% 5.6% 14.4% 20.6% 21.8% 21.1% 9.4%
McCaslin Miles 0.6% 0.9% 0.2% 0.9% 1.5% 2.7% 5.9% 11.8% 19.0% 24.4% 32.1%
Carlos Lopez 0.6% 0.6% 1.5% 1.2% 2.7% 5.7% 10.0% 20.0% 23.3% 22.1% 12.3%
Serena Aumick 0.5% 0.3% 0.3% 0.3% 0.5% 2.4% 4.8% 7.5% 14.4% 24.4% 44.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.