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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Penn State University0.96+1.57vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology0.13+1.83vs Predicted
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3Penn State Behrend0.24+0.80vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.62-0.83vs Predicted
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5Hamilton College0.21-1.29vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.21+0.14vs Predicted
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7Cornell University-1.69-0.28vs Predicted
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8Syracuse University-2.70+0.37vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.36+0.35vs Predicted
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10University of Rochester-2.83-1.43vs Predicted
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11Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.78-1.21vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.57Penn State University0.960.3%1st Place
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3.83Rochester Institute of Technology0.130.1%1st Place
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3.8Penn State Behrend0.240.1%1st Place
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3.17Queen's University0.620.2%1st Place
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3.71Hamilton College0.210.2%1st Place
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6.14Colgate University-1.210.0%1st Place
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6.72Cornell University-1.690.0%1st Place
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8.37Syracuse University-2.700.0%1st Place
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9.35U. S. Military Academy-3.360.0%1st Place
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8.57University of Rochester-2.830.0%1st Place
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9.79Indiana University of Pennsylvania-3.780.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Barrett Lhamon | 30.1% | 25.7% | 18.4% | 13.8% | 8.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nehuel Armenanzas | 12.9% | 14.2% | 18.2% | 17.5% | 15.8% | 13.8% | 5.8% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anthony Farrar | 13.2% | 14.0% | 18.4% | 16.7% | 18.3% | 12.6% | 5.4% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicola Gilmour | 19.8% | 19.9% | 19.1% | 18.4% | 14.2% | 6.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alan Becker | 15.5% | 15.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 17.4% | 11.2% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Pearlson | 3.1% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 10.8% | 21.9% | 22.7% | 14.9% | 7.7% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Nikhil Damji | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 8.1% | 15.5% | 24.4% | 21.1% | 12.2% | 4.0% | 1.3% |
| ADRIAN DRAKES | 1.0% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 6.3% | 12.5% | 20.7% | 22.9% | 21.4% | 9.3% |
| McCaslin Miles | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 12.7% | 17.4% | 25.5% | 32.0% |
| Carlos Lopez | 0.5% | 0.4% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 5.2% | 11.3% | 17.5% | 24.6% | 22.7% | 12.1% |
| Serena Aumick | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 4.6% | 7.7% | 14.4% | 24.4% | 44.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.