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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+0.32vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.68vs Predicted
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3University of Rochester-0.46+0.71vs Predicted
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4Queen's University0.68-1.52vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.34vs Predicted
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8Penn State Behrend-2.95-1.43vs Predicted
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9U. S. Military Academy-3.77-1.38vs Predicted
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10Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63-2.61vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-3.79-3.43vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.32Cornell University2.340.7%1st Place
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3.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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3.71University of Rochester-0.460.0%1st Place
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2.48Queen's University0.680.1%1st Place
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4.66Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.57Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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7.62U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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7.39Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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7.57Syracuse University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beylen Gode | 74.7% | 19.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 3.7% | 14.3% | 25.8% | 30.5% | 18.6% | 6.1% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Mahoney | 4.4% | 14.8% | 24.5% | 25.8% | 23.3% | 6.4% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Downes | 14.5% | 42.4% | 28.0% | 11.0% | 3.7% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 1.9% | 5.7% | 12.2% | 21.1% | 33.1% | 18.7% | 5.5% | 1.2% | 0.6% |
| Velia Minerbi | 0.3% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 4.8% | 9.2% | 29.6% | 28.0% | 16.9% | 8.4% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.7% | 11.7% | 19.9% | 30.5% | 31.2% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 4.4% | 14.5% | 24.6% | 24.6% | 27.3% |
| Akhere Edoro | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 12.6% | 20.3% | 26.7% | 32.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.