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📊 Prediction Accuracy
55.6%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+2.56vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.46+1.80vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.68-0.50vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34-2.69vs Predicted
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5Penn State Behrend-2.95+1.56vs Predicted
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6Penn State University-1.34-1.28vs Predicted
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8Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63-0.57vs Predicted
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10Syracuse University-3.79-2.44vs Predicted
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11U. S. Military Academy-3.77-3.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.56Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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3.8University of Rochester-0.460.0%1st Place
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2.5Queen's University0.680.2%1st Place
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1.31Cornell University2.340.7%1st Place
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6.56Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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4.72Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
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7.43Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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7.56Syracuse University-3.790.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cole Bender | 5.6% | 15.6% | 27.4% | 27.6% | 17.7% | 4.9% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Mahoney | 3.5% | 12.0% | 25.1% | 29.7% | 21.1% | 7.5% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Downes | 15.1% | 41.6% | 26.3% | 12.6% | 4.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Beylen Gode | 73.6% | 22.5% | 3.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Velia Minerbi | 0.1% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 9.7% | 29.6% | 25.2% | 17.8% | 9.3% |
| Erich Laughlin | 1.4% | 5.2% | 11.4% | 19.5% | 35.7% | 20.0% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 13.5% | 24.9% | 29.0% | 24.7% |
| Akhere Edoro | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 4.7% | 11.4% | 21.3% | 25.0% | 33.6% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 26.6% | 32.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.