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📊 Prediction Accuracy
77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+0.30vs Predicted
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2Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+1.68vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.68-0.46vs Predicted
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4University of Rochester-0.46-0.36vs Predicted
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5Penn State University-1.34-0.32vs Predicted
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6Penn State Behrend-2.95+0.57vs Predicted
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9Rochester Institute of Technology-3.63-1.55vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.77-2.44vs Predicted
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11Syracuse University-3.79-3.42vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.3Cornell University2.340.8%1st Place
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3.68Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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2.54Queen's University0.680.1%1st Place
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3.64University of Rochester-0.460.0%1st Place
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4.68Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
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6.57Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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7.45Rochester Institute of Technology-3.630.0%1st Place
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7.56U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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7.58Syracuse University-3.790.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beylen Gode | 76.1% | 18.6% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 3.4% | 14.3% | 26.5% | 30.2% | 18.6% | 6.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Downes | 13.3% | 43.2% | 24.7% | 14.5% | 3.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Mahoney | 4.7% | 14.7% | 26.8% | 26.3% | 21.4% | 5.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 1.8% | 6.1% | 12.3% | 18.9% | 33.8% | 19.4% | 5.8% | 1.4% | 0.5% |
| Velia Minerbi | 0.3% | 1.0% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 9.9% | 29.2% | 27.4% | 17.2% | 8.5% |
| Hayden Robertson | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 4.1% | 14.2% | 23.9% | 29.6% | 24.9% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 2.1% | 4.5% | 12.6% | 21.1% | 25.1% | 33.0% |
| Akhere Edoro | 0.1% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 4.2% | 12.3% | 20.4% | 26.5% | 33.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.