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📊 Prediction Accuracy
90.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.8
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+0.35vs Predicted
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2Queen's University0.68+0.64vs Predicted
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3Penn State University-1.34+2.45vs Predicted
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4Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-0.05vs Predicted
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5Colgate University-1.14+0.04vs Predicted
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6University of Rochester-0.46-1.87vs Predicted
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7Penn State Behrend-2.95+0.50vs Predicted
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8Hamilton College-3.05-0.30vs Predicted
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9Syracuse University-3.79-0.26vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.77-1.38vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-7.11-1.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.35Cornell University2.340.7%1st Place
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2.64Queen's University0.680.1%1st Place
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5.45Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
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3.95Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.0%1st Place
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5.04Colgate University-1.140.0%1st Place
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4.13University of Rochester-0.460.0%1st Place
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7.5Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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7.7Hamilton College-3.050.0%1st Place
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8.74Syracuse University-3.790.0%1st Place
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8.62U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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10.88Rochester Institute of Technology-7.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beylen Gode | 72.1% | 22.0% | 4.7% | 1.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Downes | 13.3% | 39.3% | 27.0% | 12.7% | 5.8% | 1.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 1.9% | 4.7% | 8.3% | 11.9% | 19.1% | 25.3% | 18.9% | 7.5% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 4.9% | 12.1% | 23.1% | 24.6% | 18.9% | 12.3% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Spear | 2.7% | 6.0% | 11.5% | 15.6% | 21.5% | 22.4% | 13.8% | 5.2% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kira Mahoney | 3.4% | 12.7% | 19.6% | 24.5% | 21.2% | 10.7% | 6.1% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Velia Minerbi | 0.5% | 1.2% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 9.6% | 20.5% | 26.2% | 21.1% | 9.4% | 0.7% |
| Reid Chapman | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 9.6% | 18.9% | 25.5% | 21.5% | 13.9% | 0.2% |
| Akhere Edoro | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 3.7% | 7.6% | 17.6% | 24.9% | 37.0% | 4.0% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 4.4% | 10.6% | 15.6% | 27.2% | 35.4% | 1.5% |
| Emmett Dix | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 4.0% | 93.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.