Race 1A

2024-carolina

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

77.8%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
Kathleen Hale 8.2% 10.3% 12.4% 14.3% 15.2% 15.9% 13.8% 8.6% 1.2%
Nilah Miller 23.6% 21.9% 20.0% 15.1% 9.6% 6.1% 3.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Jacob Usher 33.7% 27.1% 18.3% 12.1% 5.1% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
Johnny Perkins 8.5% 10.3% 14.7% 14.9% 15.9% 15.4% 13.0% 6.0% 1.1%
Ian Hoogenboom 10.3% 12.2% 13.7% 15.1% 14.9% 15.5% 12.0% 5.1% 1.2%
Andrew Ettlemyer 6.8% 7.8% 8.2% 11.7% 15.7% 16.7% 17.8% 11.1% 4.3%
Caswell Kern 1.6% 1.3% 2.2% 3.1% 4.5% 6.1% 9.9% 30.4% 40.9%
May Proctor 6.0% 7.3% 8.0% 10.5% 15.5% 16.5% 19.7% 12.5% 4.0%
Jim Wang 1.3% 1.8% 2.5% 3.1% 3.6% 5.2% 9.7% 25.8% 47.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.