← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Cornell University2.34+0.38vs Predicted
-
2Queen's University0.68+0.65vs Predicted
-
3Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30+0.84vs Predicted
-
4University of Rochester-0.46+0.02vs Predicted
-
5Penn State University-1.34+0.16vs Predicted
-
6Colgate University-1.14-1.16vs Predicted
-
8Syracuse University-3.79+0.07vs Predicted
-
9Penn State Behrend-2.95-1.89vs Predicted
-
10U. S. Military Academy-3.77-2.01vs Predicted
-
12Rochester Institute of Technology-7.11-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
1.38Cornell University2.340.7%1st Place
-
2.65Queen's University0.680.1%1st Place
-
3.84Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
-
4.02University of Rochester-0.460.0%1st Place
-
5.16Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
-
4.84Colgate University-1.140.0%1st Place
-
8.07Syracuse University-3.790.0%1st Place
-
7.11Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
-
7.99U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
-
9.93Rochester Institute of Technology-7.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beylen Gode | 70.4% | 22.3% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Liam Downes | 14.3% | 37.5% | 26.6% | 14.2% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.2% | 14.0% | 22.4% | 25.1% | 19.5% | 11.2% | 2.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Mahoney | 3.3% | 12.7% | 21.2% | 24.5% | 22.1% | 12.7% | 3.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 2.9% | 5.3% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 21.7% | 28.3% | 15.1% | 4.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Spear | 3.2% | 6.3% | 11.7% | 16.7% | 23.0% | 25.1% | 11.4% | 2.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Akhere Edoro | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.7% | 4.2% | 16.6% | 31.5% | 42.0% | 2.2% |
| Velia Minerbi | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 11.6% | 34.0% | 29.4% | 13.5% | 0.1% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 5.5% | 16.8% | 31.0% | 40.0% | 2.4% |
| Emmett Dix | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 3.5% | 95.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.