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📊 Prediction Accuracy
80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.3
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+0.38vs Predicted
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2University of Rochester-0.46+2.03vs Predicted
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3Queen's University0.68-0.35vs Predicted
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4Penn State University-1.34+1.19vs Predicted
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5Rochester Institute of Technology-0.30-1.25vs Predicted
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6Colgate University-1.14-1.12vs Predicted
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7Syracuse University-3.79+1.06vs Predicted
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9Penn State Behrend-2.95-1.88vs Predicted
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10U. S. Military Academy-3.77-2.00vs Predicted
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12Rochester Institute of Technology-7.11-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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1.38Cornell University2.340.7%1st Place
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4.03University of Rochester-0.460.0%1st Place
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2.65Queen's University0.680.1%1st Place
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5.19Penn State University-1.340.0%1st Place
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3.75Rochester Institute of Technology-0.300.1%1st Place
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4.88Colgate University-1.140.0%1st Place
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8.06Syracuse University-3.790.0%1st Place
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7.12Penn State Behrend-2.950.0%1st Place
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8.0U. S. Military Academy-3.770.0%1st Place
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9.93Rochester Institute of Technology-7.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Beylen Gode | 70.5% | 21.6% | 7.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kira Mahoney | 4.7% | 11.7% | 20.8% | 24.6% | 21.5% | 11.7% | 4.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Liam Downes | 13.8% | 37.7% | 26.7% | 14.6% | 5.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erich Laughlin | 1.5% | 4.2% | 9.2% | 14.2% | 22.2% | 30.7% | 14.6% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cole Bender | 5.8% | 15.6% | 23.0% | 24.5% | 19.2% | 8.4% | 2.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matthew Spear | 2.9% | 7.6% | 9.6% | 16.6% | 21.5% | 28.3% | 11.0% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Akhere Edoro | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 2.2% | 4.3% | 16.1% | 31.4% | 42.1% | 2.2% |
| Velia Minerbi | 0.5% | 0.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.5% | 10.3% | 34.6% | 29.5% | 13.6% | 0.1% |
| Ella Dieterlen | 0.1% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 2.2% | 4.8% | 16.6% | 31.4% | 40.2% | 2.4% |
| Emmett Dix | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.9% | 3.4% | 95.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.