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📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.4
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Clemson University0.73+2.04vs Predicted
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2Duke University0.06+2.33vs Predicted
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3Wake Forest University0.08+1.53vs Predicted
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4North Carolina State University1.53-1.61vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05-0.27vs Predicted
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6University of North Carolina-0.46-0.59vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84+0.50vs Predicted
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8University of South Carolina-0.41-2.70vs Predicted
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9-2.02-1.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.04Clemson University0.7322.8%1st Place
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4.33Duke University0.0611.6%1st Place
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4.53Wake Forest University0.089.6%1st Place
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2.39North Carolina State University1.5333.9%1st Place
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4.73University of North Carolina-0.057.6%1st Place
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5.41University of North Carolina-0.465.5%1st Place
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7.5University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.8%1st Place
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5.3University of South Carolina-0.416.2%1st Place
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7.77-2.021.2%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nilah Miller | 22.8% | 21.1% | 20.2% | 15.0% | 11.0% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 11.6% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 15.8% | 15.2% | 16.1% | 10.4% | 5.0% | 1.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 9.6% | 12.2% | 11.3% | 14.8% | 16.6% | 14.5% | 13.1% | 6.7% | 1.2% |
| Jacob Usher | 33.9% | 27.2% | 18.9% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Kathleen Hale | 7.6% | 10.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 15.3% | 6.8% | 1.7% |
| May Proctor | 5.5% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 16.8% | 20.4% | 13.1% | 4.0% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 29.1% | 39.5% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 6.2% | 7.0% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 15.0% | 15.6% | 17.3% | 13.5% | 4.0% |
| Jim Wang | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 9.1% | 25.4% | 48.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.