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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.79+2.25vs Predicted
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2University of Washington1.76+3.90vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+2.05vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University2.15+0.91vs Predicted
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6University of Washington0.48+3.95vs Predicted
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7Western Washington University1.14+1.18vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University1.87-2.39vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.02-0.79vs Predicted
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10University of Victoria-2.33+6.16vs Predicted
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11Western Washington University1.02-2.72vs Predicted
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12University of Puget Sound1.26-4.36vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.47-0.19vs Predicted
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14University of Oregon0.03-2.51vs Predicted
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15University of Oregon0.76-5.67vs Predicted
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16Western Washington University-0.56-3.08vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.99-8.51vs Predicted
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18University of Puget Sound-1.42-3.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.25University of Washington2.790.3%1st Place
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5.9University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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5.05University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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4.91Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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9.95University of Washington0.480.0%1st Place
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8.18Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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5.61Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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8.21Western Washington University1.020.1%1st Place
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16.16University of Victoria-2.330.0%1st Place
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8.28Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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7.64University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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12.81Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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11.49University of Oregon0.030.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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12.92Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
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8.49Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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14.83University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Karl Haelsig | 26.6% | 19.7% | 16.4% | 11.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Fuller | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 4.2% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 11.1% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 11.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 14.1% | 12.5% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.5% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Vane | 1.8% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 11.1% | 12.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% |
| Angela Gossom | 4.5% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 9.2% | 10.8% | 8.4% | 12.3% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Debbi Kenote | 5.6% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.8% | 5.0% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Giselle Hood | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 6.7% | 18.4% | 65.4% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.7% | 4.9% | 4.0% | 5.9% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Meghan McDonald | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 9.6% | 16.3% | 20.9% | 16.3% | 3.9% |
| Caitlyn Bryson | 1.8% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 10.6% | 17.0% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 2.0% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 2.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 3.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 1.9% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.7% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 23.4% | 16.0% | 6.0% |
| Ian Reeves | 3.2% | 3.1% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 8.6% | 15.3% | 35.3% | 22.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.