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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.20vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+3.87vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.34+3.70vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.21vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+5.55vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.83+2.46vs Predicted
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7Columbia University0.63+5.58vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+2.20vs Predicted
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9U. S. Naval Academy1.19+1.71vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-0.59vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-4.08vs Predicted
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12Tulane University2.38-5.25vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.56-7.29vs Predicted
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14University of Vermont0.57-1.40vs Predicted
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15Roger Williams University2.06-7.44vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.79-3.74vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-1.65vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.2Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.87Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.7Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.21Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.55George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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8.46College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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12.58Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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10.2Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.41U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.1%1st Place
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6.92Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.75Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.71Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.6University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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7.56Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.26Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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15.35Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 12.5% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.9% | 8.6% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 9.4% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 9.6% | 11.3% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.0% | 7.3% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 5.4% | 4.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 9.3% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.9% | 3.4% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 3.0% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 8.0% | 11.2% | 10.1% | 9.3% | 7.7% | 4.3% | 0.8% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.2% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 7.4% | 4.2% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 10.6% | 14.8% | 15.3% | 12.4% | 2.9% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.5% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.2% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 10.7% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 2.9% | 0.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 4.6% | 0.4% |
| Julia Conneely | 5.1% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 6.7% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.6% | 7.0% | 10.1% | 8.6% | 6.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 7.6% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 6.3% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.0% | 11.3% | 9.2% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 3.0% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 16.9% | 11.6% | 3.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 7.2% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 14.0% | 13.7% | 9.3% | 2.8% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 5.2% | 8.1% | 13.1% | 36.4% | 19.9% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 5.1% | 14.2% | 69.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.