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📊 Prediction Accuracy
27.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Cornell University2.34+5.77vs Predicted
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2Boston College2.82+3.14vs Predicted
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3Stanford University2.58+2.89vs Predicted
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4Bowdoin College2.13+3.24vs Predicted
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5George Washington University1.22+5.53vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38+0.46vs Predicted
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7U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+2.26vs Predicted
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8Harvard University2.56-2.18vs Predicted
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9Columbia University0.63+3.66vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.79+2.27vs Predicted
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11Brown University2.29-4.06vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-1.47vs Predicted
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13University of Vermont0.57-0.35vs Predicted
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14College of Charleston1.83-5.82vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.29vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University2.06-8.34vs Predicted
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17Boston University-0.38-1.66vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.77Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.14Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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5.89Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.24Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.46Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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9.26U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.66Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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12.27Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.94Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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10.53Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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12.65University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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8.18College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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10.71U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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7.66Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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15.34Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Winborne Majette | 9.0% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.8% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.8% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 7.9% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 9.2% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 8.0% | 4.1% | 1.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 7.6% | 10.5% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.8% | 12.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 10.8% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 11.7% | 2.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.9% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 11.4% | 13.2% | 14.1% | 10.6% | 2.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.0% | 8.1% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.8% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 2.9% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 0.6% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 13.7% | 16.3% | 10.9% | 4.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.5% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 2.8% | 4.1% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 9.5% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 7.9% | 13.0% | 35.9% | 20.0% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.7% | 15.1% | 68.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.