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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.96vs Predicted
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2Bowdoin College2.13+5.54vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.81vs Predicted
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4U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+5.07vs Predicted
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5Tulane University2.38+1.42vs Predicted
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6Boston College2.82-0.96vs Predicted
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7George Washington University1.22+3.62vs Predicted
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8Cornell University2.34-1.54vs Predicted
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9Brown University2.29-2.27vs Predicted
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10University of Vermont0.57+2.99vs Predicted
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11U. S. Naval Academy1.19-0.13vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79+0.40vs Predicted
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13Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-2.92vs Predicted
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14Harvard University2.56-8.33vs Predicted
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15College of Charleston1.83-6.63vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-0.68vs Predicted
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17Columbia University0.63-4.30vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.96Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.54Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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7.81Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.42Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.04Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.62George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.46Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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6.73Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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12.99University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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10.87U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.4Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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10.08Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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5.67Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.37College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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15.32Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.7Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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16.94University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 10.8% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 8.3% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 5.1% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 5.4% | 5.6% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.0% | 5.4% | 6.9% | 6.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.9% | 0.1% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.6% | 9.9% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.8% | 14.1% | 10.7% | 12.1% | 10.1% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 5.6% | 9.3% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 3.8% | 0.6% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 9.6% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.7% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 4.1% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 11.4% | 13.7% | 17.5% | 14.5% | 2.9% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 6.4% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 4.0% | 1.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 13.7% | 15.4% | 9.9% | 3.4% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 2.6% | 0.5% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 11.6% | 12.3% | 9.9% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 9.7% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.5% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 6.3% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.0% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 8.3% | 14.5% | 34.7% | 19.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 2.1% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 13.5% | 14.8% | 13.4% | 3.1% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 5.4% | 13.3% | 69.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.