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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Boston College2.82+4.24vs Predicted
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2George Washington University1.22+8.86vs Predicted
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3Tulane University2.38+3.62vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.68vs Predicted
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5Harvard University2.56+0.81vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+1.29vs Predicted
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7Stanford University2.58-1.27vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.83+0.32vs Predicted
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9Roger Williams University2.06-1.48vs Predicted
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10Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+0.43vs Predicted
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11Cornell University2.34-4.31vs Predicted
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12Jacksonville University0.79+0.42vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-3.93vs Predicted
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14U. S. Naval Academy1.19-3.48vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.63-2.38vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-0.70vs Predicted
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17University of Vermont0.57-4.09vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.53-1.05vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.24Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.86George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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6.62Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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6.68Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.81Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.29Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.73Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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8.32College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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7.52Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.43Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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6.69Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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12.42Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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10.52U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.62Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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15.3Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.91University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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16.95University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 12.3% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 9.0% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 9.7% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% | 3.9% | 0.6% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.1% | 7.8% | 9.9% | 9.7% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 9.2% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.9% | 5.6% | 4.0% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.6% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 10.0% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 5.2% | 3.7% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 5.7% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Lucy Meagher | 5.6% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.0% | 7.8% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 2.6% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.5% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 7.3% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 11.6% | 6.5% | 3.3% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.1% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 15.7% | 9.5% | 3.9% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.8% | 4.9% | 4.4% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.9% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| Ava Farley | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 4.4% | 1.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.2% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.1% | 8.1% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 15.6% | 12.5% | 2.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 5.4% | 7.7% | 15.3% | 34.9% | 18.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 14.8% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 3.1% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.6% | 13.7% | 69.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.