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📊 Prediction Accuracy
33.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.5
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tulane University2.38+5.65vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+3.97vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+4.49vs Predicted
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4George Washington University1.22+6.53vs Predicted
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5Jacksonville University0.79+7.08vs Predicted
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6Brown University2.29+0.82vs Predicted
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7Boston College2.82-1.95vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.83+0.38vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.56-3.18vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University2.06-2.20vs Predicted
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11Columbia University0.63+1.68vs Predicted
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12University of Vermont0.57+1.11vs Predicted
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13Cornell University2.34-6.52vs Predicted
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14Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-4.03vs Predicted
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15U. S. Naval Academy1.19-4.25vs Predicted
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16U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-6.76vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.07vs Predicted
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18Boston University-0.38-2.87vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.65Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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5.97Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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7.49Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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10.53George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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12.08Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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6.82Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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5.05Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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8.38College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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5.82Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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7.8Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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12.68Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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13.11University of Vermont0.570.0%1st Place
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6.48Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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9.97Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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10.75U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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9.24U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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17.07University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
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15.13Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ava Anderson | 8.9% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 6.6% | 6.4% | 5.1% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 6.4% | 5.2% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 3.5% | 0.7% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.6% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 14.1% | 13.1% | 10.2% | 2.3% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.2% | 13.5% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 8.8% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 4.4% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.1% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.0% | 9.8% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.8% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 2.9% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.7% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 2.9% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 2.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 3.7% |
| Caitlin Derby | 1.5% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 6.0% | 9.0% | 13.0% | 17.4% | 16.5% | 3.8% |
| Winborne Majette | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.5% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 3.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 5.8% | 3.0% | 0.3% |
| Ava Farley | 2.2% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 4.5% | 0.5% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 4.9% | 7.3% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 5.6% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 6.5% | 12.9% | 70.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 6.5% | 8.6% | 15.7% | 34.0% | 17.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.