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📊 Prediction Accuracy
58.8%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Harvard University2.56+4.63vs Predicted
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2Stanford University2.58+3.55vs Predicted
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3Boston College2.82+1.95vs Predicted
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4Brown University2.29+2.75vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.34+1.29vs Predicted
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6Bowdoin College2.13+1.31vs Predicted
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7College of Charleston1.83+1.22vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34+1.75vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+0.07vs Predicted
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10Tulane University2.38-3.76vs Predicted
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11George Washington University1.22-0.56vs Predicted
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12Roger Williams University2.06-4.62vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy1.19-2.45vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.63-1.68vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.38-0.48vs Predicted
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16Jacksonville University0.79-4.23vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-1.53-0.73vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.63Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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5.55Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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4.95Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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6.75Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.29Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.31Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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8.22College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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9.75Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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9.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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6.24Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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10.44George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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7.38Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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10.55U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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12.32Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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14.52Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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11.77Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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16.27University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zoey Ziskind | 12.1% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 4.5% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.4% | 11.8% | 10.8% | 9.4% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 13.1% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 4.0% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.8% | 8.0% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 6.0% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.8% | 9.4% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.6% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 3.0% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 5.4% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 8.6% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 4.1% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.5% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 9.1% | 4.6% | 0.2% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 0.3% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.2% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 10.7% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 11.5% | 5.6% | 1.2% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.5% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.0% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 10.9% | 5.7% | 1.5% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 20.4% | 15.2% | 2.9% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 5.0% | 7.0% | 13.5% | 39.0% | 19.4% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 11.0% | 14.8% | 15.8% | 10.7% | 2.7% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 3.4% | 4.5% | 15.1% | 71.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.