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📊 Prediction Accuracy
100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.1
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1North Carolina State University1.53+1.34vs Predicted
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2Clemson University0.73+0.99vs Predicted
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3Duke University0.06+1.37vs Predicted
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4University of North Carolina-0.05+0.76vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.46+0.38vs Predicted
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6Wake Forest University0.08-1.49vs Predicted
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7University of South Carolina-0.41-1.62vs Predicted
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8-2.02-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.34North Carolina State University1.5336.0%1st Place
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2.99Clemson University0.7322.9%1st Place
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4.37Duke University0.0610.0%1st Place
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4.76University of North Carolina-0.058.3%1st Place
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5.38University of North Carolina-0.465.5%1st Place
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4.51Wake Forest University0.089.1%1st Place
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5.38University of South Carolina-0.415.3%1st Place
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7.74-2.021.2%1st Place
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7.54University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.6%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Usher | 36.0% | 27.0% | 17.3% | 10.7% | 5.9% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 22.9% | 22.6% | 20.2% | 14.8% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 10.0% | 11.3% | 13.9% | 17.0% | 16.2% | 14.3% | 11.7% | 5.0% | 0.7% |
| Kathleen Hale | 8.3% | 9.6% | 11.9% | 13.6% | 16.6% | 15.4% | 15.5% | 6.8% | 2.2% |
| May Proctor | 5.5% | 6.6% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 13.5% | 17.0% | 20.3% | 12.2% | 3.8% |
| Johnny Perkins | 9.1% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 16.3% | 11.8% | 5.6% | 1.9% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 5.3% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 13.7% | 17.0% | 19.6% | 11.7% | 4.8% |
| Jim Wang | 1.2% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 5.0% | 8.9% | 28.1% | 46.3% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 6.3% | 9.2% | 29.9% | 40.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.