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📊 Prediction Accuracy
52.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+4.53vs Predicted
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2Cornell University2.34+4.34vs Predicted
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3Bowdoin College2.13+4.20vs Predicted
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4Boston College2.82+1.02vs Predicted
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5U. S. Naval Academy1.19+5.26vs Predicted
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6Tulane University2.38+0.44vs Predicted
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7Roger Williams University2.06+0.42vs Predicted
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8Brown University2.29-1.48vs Predicted
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9Jacksonville University0.79+2.87vs Predicted
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10U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62-1.12vs Predicted
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11College of Charleston1.83-2.69vs Predicted
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12George Washington University1.22-1.74vs Predicted
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13Harvard University2.56-7.15vs Predicted
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14Columbia University0.63-1.73vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.08vs Predicted
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16Boston University-0.38-1.35vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-1.53-0.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.53Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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6.34Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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7.2Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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5.02Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.26U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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6.44Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.42Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.52Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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11.87Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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8.88U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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8.31College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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10.26George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
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5.85Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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12.27Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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9.92Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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14.65Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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16.25University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sophie Fisher | 13.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 8.8% | 10.2% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.6% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 4.1% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 7.2% | 6.2% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 14.7% | 13.2% | 11.1% | 9.8% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.5% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.9% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 6.0% | 0.9% |
| Ava Anderson | 8.9% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.8% | 6.4% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Katharine Doble | 8.7% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 6.6% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 1.0% | 2.4% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 13.6% | 17.6% | 11.8% | 2.3% |
| Julia Conneely | 3.8% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.2% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 6.1% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 5.5% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 3.6% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 11.2% | 12.3% | 10.6% | 4.7% | 1.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.5% | 9.6% | 10.2% | 10.6% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 9.1% | 14.7% | 18.6% | 16.3% | 3.2% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 5.0% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 10.2% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 11.0% | 8.4% | 4.4% | 0.5% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 8.3% | 13.8% | 37.9% | 20.3% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 5.4% | 14.5% | 71.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.