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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.29+5.51vs Predicted
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2Tulane University2.38+4.25vs Predicted
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3Roger Williams University2.06+4.44vs Predicted
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4Cornell University2.34+2.54vs Predicted
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5Stanford University2.58+0.52vs Predicted
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6U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.62+3.12vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.56-1.23vs Predicted
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8College of Charleston1.83+0.10vs Predicted
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9Boston College2.82-3.93vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy1.19+0.42vs Predicted
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11Jacksonville University0.79+0.72vs Predicted
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12Columbia University0.63+0.12vs Predicted
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13Boston University-0.38+1.55vs Predicted
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14Bowdoin College2.13-6.72vs Predicted
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15Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.34-5.04vs Predicted
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16University of Wisconsin-1.53+0.22vs Predicted
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17George Washington University1.22-6.59vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.51Brown University2.290.1%1st Place
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6.25Tulane University2.380.1%1st Place
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7.44Roger Williams University2.060.1%1st Place
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6.54Cornell University2.340.1%1st Place
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5.52Stanford University2.580.1%1st Place
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9.12U. S. Coast Guard Academy1.620.0%1st Place
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5.77Harvard University2.560.1%1st Place
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8.1College of Charleston1.830.1%1st Place
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5.07Boston College2.820.1%1st Place
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10.42U. S. Naval Academy1.190.0%1st Place
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11.72Jacksonville University0.790.0%1st Place
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12.12Columbia University0.630.0%1st Place
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14.55Boston University-0.380.0%1st Place
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7.28Bowdoin College2.130.1%1st Place
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9.96Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.340.0%1st Place
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16.22University of Wisconsin-1.530.0%1st Place
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10.41George Washington University1.220.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katharine Doble | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Ava Anderson | 9.7% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lucy Meagher | 6.9% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Winborne Majette | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophie Fisher | 11.6% | 13.4% | 10.0% | 10.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Conneely | 4.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 5.4% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Zoey Ziskind | 10.9% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 11.0% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bella Shakespeare | 7.0% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 7.4% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Caroline Sibilly | 11.9% | 14.3% | 11.9% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ava Farley | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 5.5% | 1.1% |
| Kaitlyn Liebel | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 17.3% | 13.0% | 2.2% |
| Elizabeth Frost | 1.7% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 3.7% | 2.8% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 9.1% | 14.0% | 19.1% | 13.9% | 3.2% |
| Sage Andrews | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 39.2% | 20.0% |
| Lauren Russler | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 5.0% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Deana Fedulova | 3.7% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 3.8% | 0.7% |
| Claudia Kroll | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.8% | 4.8% | 14.9% | 71.8% |
| Arrieta Angueira Salbidegoitia | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.8% | 9.3% | 11.8% | 11.5% | 10.6% | 5.6% | 0.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.