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📊 Prediction Accuracy
44.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Brown University2.01+5.23vs Predicted
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2College of Charleston1.68+5.34vs Predicted
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3Tulane University1.59+4.66vs Predicted
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4Stanford University2.58+0.30vs Predicted
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5Cornell University2.320.00vs Predicted
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6George Washington University0.23+6.44vs Predicted
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7Harvard University2.15-1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Vermont0.53+3.33vs Predicted
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9Bowdoin College1.49-1.24vs Predicted
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10Jacksonville University0.84+0.48vs Predicted
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11U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-0.93vs Predicted
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12Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-2.60vs Predicted
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13U. S. Naval Academy0.70-2.27vs Predicted
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14Boston University-0.61+0.68vs Predicted
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15Columbia University0.45-3.29vs Predicted
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16Roger Williams University1.50-8.14vs Predicted
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17Boston College0.45-5.15vs Predicted
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18University of Wisconsin-1.58-1.41vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.23Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.34College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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7.66Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
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4.3Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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5.0Cornell University2.320.2%1st Place
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12.44George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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5.56Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.33University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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7.76Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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10.48Jacksonville University0.840.0%1st Place
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10.07U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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9.4Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
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10.73U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
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14.68Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.71Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
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7.86Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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11.85Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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16.59University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Katherine McNamara | 9.1% | 10.5% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 4.6% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 5.3% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 5.8% | 6.3% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Samara Walshe | 18.8% | 14.4% | 16.2% | 11.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 4.3% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 15.5% | 13.4% | 11.0% | 11.7% | 10.5% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 11.5% | 14.4% | 12.2% | 5.2% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.4% | 11.6% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Towner | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 8.1% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 8.7% | 12.2% | 7.2% | 2.1% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.3% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.5% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 3.5% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 7.8% | 6.3% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 4.8% | 0.6% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 7.4% | 5.1% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.3% | 6.1% | 4.2% | 1.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Josephine Sherry | 3.6% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.4% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 5.6% | 2.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 8.9% | 12.2% | 28.0% | 19.5% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 10.1% | 1.9% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.0% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 6.9% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 12.8% | 9.1% | 2.5% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 5.6% | 14.6% | 64.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.