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📊 Prediction Accuracy
38.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
18
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stanford University2.58+3.52vs Predicted
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2Tulane University1.59+5.78vs Predicted
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3Cornell University2.32+2.15vs Predicted
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4Jacksonville University0.84+6.15vs Predicted
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5Brown University2.01+1.02vs Predicted
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6College of Charleston1.68+1.19vs Predicted
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7George Washington University0.23+5.48vs Predicted
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8Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+1.00vs Predicted
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9Harvard University2.15-3.50vs Predicted
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10U. S. Naval Academy0.70+1.10vs Predicted
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11Bowdoin College1.49-2.99vs Predicted
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12Boston College0.45+0.01vs Predicted
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13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-3.20vs Predicted
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14Roger Williams University1.50-6.42vs Predicted
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15Boston University-0.61-0.11vs Predicted
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16University of Vermont0.53-4.48vs Predicted
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17University of Wisconsin-1.58-0.26vs Predicted
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18Columbia University0.45-6.44vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Stanford University2.580.2%1st Place
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7.78Tulane University1.590.0%1st Place
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5.15Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
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10.15Jacksonville University0.840.0%1st Place
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6.02Brown University2.010.1%1st Place
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7.19College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
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12.48George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
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9.0Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.1%1st Place
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5.5Harvard University2.150.1%1st Place
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11.1U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
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8.01Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
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12.01Boston College0.450.0%1st Place
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9.8U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
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7.58Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
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14.89Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
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11.52University of Vermont0.530.0%1st Place
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16.74University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
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11.56Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Samara Walshe | 16.0% | 15.9% | 13.6% | 11.2% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 4.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 4.9% | 5.5% | 5.7% | 7.9% | 8.1% | 8.4% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.1% | 13.1% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 11.3% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 3.5% | 2.9% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 5.0% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 3.7% | 1.3% |
| Katherine McNamara | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 7.2% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.9% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hayden Clary | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 10.0% | 13.7% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 5.3% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 5.5% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.8% |
| Kate Danielson | 11.6% | 12.1% | 11.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Josephine Sherry | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 4.8% | 4.9% | 8.2% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.5% | 1.4% |
| Kyra Phelan | 6.3% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 7.5% | 5.2% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Kate Joslin | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.8% | 9.9% | 9.2% | 13.5% | 11.2% | 2.5% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.1% | 6.3% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 5.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 28.0% | 21.0% |
| Ella Towner | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 7.3% | 2.3% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 6.5% | 14.9% | 64.1% |
| Eva DeCastro | 2.3% | 2.2% | 3.3% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 5.1% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.3% | 11.3% | 11.2% | 8.2% | 2.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.