← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.1
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+2.94vs Predicted
-
2Jacksonville University0.84+7.71vs Predicted
-
3Bowdoin College1.49+4.45vs Predicted
-
4Roger Williams University1.50+3.45vs Predicted
-
5Harvard University1.69+1.71vs Predicted
-
6Cornell University2.32-1.05vs Predicted
-
7Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17+1.58vs Predicted
-
8Stanford University2.16-2.71vs Predicted
-
9Columbia University0.45+2.25vs Predicted
-
10College of Charleston1.68-3.25vs Predicted
-
11Tulane University1.59-3.73vs Predicted
-
12Boston University-0.61+2.04vs Predicted
-
13Boston College0.16-0.90vs Predicted
-
14U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-4.39vs Predicted
-
15George Washington University0.23-3.24vs Predicted
-
16U. S. Naval Academy0.70-5.72vs Predicted
-
17University of Wisconsin-1.58-1.13vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.94Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
9.71Jacksonville University0.840.0%1st Place
-
7.45Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
-
7.45Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
6.71Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
-
4.95Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
8.58Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
-
5.29Stanford University2.160.1%1st Place
-
11.25Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
6.75College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
-
7.27Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
-
14.04Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
-
12.1Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
-
9.61U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
11.76George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
-
10.28U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
-
15.87University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 22.5% | 16.0% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 3.9% | 3.1% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.3% | 4.9% | 4.8% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.9% | 11.2% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 2.9% | 0.6% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.9% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Tavia Smith | 6.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 10.0% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 6.7% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 6.5% | 7.4% | 5.5% | 4.5% | 3.4% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 12.7% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 2.4% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sabrina Starck | 4.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 6.3% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 6.6% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 1.6% | 0.1% |
| Alice Schmid | 12.9% | 12.7% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 2.4% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 10.1% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.2% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 7.7% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.6% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 10.8% | 30.6% | 20.8% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 16.9% | 12.7% | 6.1% |
| Madeline Murphy | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 5.4% | 5.4% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 8.1% | 6.4% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 3.6% | 0.4% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.5% | 2.6% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 12.5% | 15.6% | 13.2% | 4.3% |
| Josephine Sherry | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 5.8% | 1.6% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 6.3% | 15.9% | 63.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.