← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
66.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Carolina-0.41+4.29vs Predicted
-
2Duke University0.06+2.40vs Predicted
-
3University of North Carolina-0.05+1.69vs Predicted
-
4North Carolina State University1.53-1.57vs Predicted
-
5Wake Forest University0.08-0.55vs Predicted
-
6Clemson University0.73-2.98vs Predicted
-
7University of North Carolina-0.46-1.66vs Predicted
-
8-2.02-0.12vs Predicted
-
9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-1.49vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.29University of South Carolina-0.416.7%1st Place
-
4.4Duke University0.069.7%1st Place
-
4.69University of North Carolina-0.058.0%1st Place
-
2.43North Carolina State University1.5333.4%1st Place
-
4.45Wake Forest University0.0810.3%1st Place
-
3.02Clemson University0.7322.8%1st Place
-
5.34University of North Carolina-0.466.5%1st Place
-
7.88-2.021.2%1st Place
-
7.51University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.7%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.3% | 11.2% | 14.4% | 16.1% | 17.9% | 13.6% | 3.6% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 9.7% | 12.5% | 13.2% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 17.0% | 11.7% | 4.8% | 0.8% |
| Kathleen Hale | 8.0% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 14.2% | 15.9% | 16.4% | 14.1% | 6.7% | 1.8% |
| Jacob Usher | 33.4% | 27.9% | 17.3% | 10.9% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Johnny Perkins | 10.3% | 10.4% | 14.2% | 15.8% | 14.7% | 15.1% | 12.7% | 5.3% | 1.4% |
| Nilah Miller | 22.8% | 21.0% | 21.0% | 15.8% | 10.1% | 5.7% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| May Proctor | 6.5% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 10.9% | 14.8% | 15.5% | 20.6% | 12.4% | 3.8% |
| Jim Wang | 1.2% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 25.9% | 50.3% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.6% | 30.3% | 38.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.