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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.7%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington1.76+4.88vs Predicted
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2University of Washington2.79+1.28vs Predicted
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3University of Washington2.10+2.02vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.14+3.99vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University2.15-0.20vs Predicted
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6Western Washington University1.87-0.20vs Predicted
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7University of Puget Sound1.26+0.59vs Predicted
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8University of Washington0.48+1.90vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University0.99-0.41vs Predicted
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10Western Washington University1.02-1.75vs Predicted
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11University of Oregon0.76-1.68vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.02-3.71vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University-0.47-0.19vs Predicted
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14Western Washington University-0.56-0.91vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.03-4.61vs Predicted
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17University of Puget Sound-1.42-2.15vs Predicted
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18University of Victoria-2.33-1.86vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.88University of Washington1.760.1%1st Place
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3.28University of Washington2.790.2%1st Place
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5.02University of Washington2.100.1%1st Place
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7.99Western Washington University1.140.0%1st Place
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4.8Western Washington University2.150.1%1st Place
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5.8Western Washington University1.870.1%1st Place
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7.59University of Puget Sound1.260.1%1st Place
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9.9University of Washington0.480.0%1st Place
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8.59Western Washington University0.990.0%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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9.32University of Oregon0.760.0%1st Place
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8.29Western Washington University1.020.0%1st Place
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12.81Western Washington University-0.470.0%1st Place
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13.09Western Washington University-0.560.0%1st Place
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11.39University of Oregon0.030.0%1st Place
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14.85University of Puget Sound-1.420.0%1st Place
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16.14University of Victoria-2.330.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christopher Fuller | 10.2% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Karl Haelsig | 24.4% | 20.5% | 17.5% | 12.7% | 9.5% | 5.5% | 4.9% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lily Grimshaw | 11.8% | 11.7% | 14.3% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Angela Gossom | 4.8% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 5.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Patrick Taylor | 13.3% | 14.0% | 12.5% | 12.3% | 11.6% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Paul Foley | 9.2% | 8.7% | 9.4% | 12.1% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 6.2% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Mike Knape | 5.1% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.3% | 10.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Mariah Vane | 3.2% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 9.2% | 11.7% | 7.7% | 2.1% | 0.5% |
| Ian Reeves | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 7.7% | 5.3% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Alex Waldron | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 8.8% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Ryan Fritsen | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 3.9% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 1.1% | 0.1% |
| Debbi Kenote | 4.5% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 5.7% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Meghan McDonald | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 15.6% | 21.0% | 15.5% | 4.9% |
| Greyson Spencer | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 9.9% | 14.5% | 22.3% | 18.5% | 5.5% |
| Caitlyn Bryson | 1.6% | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.6% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 15.0% | 12.4% | 7.5% | 1.3% |
| Kelsey Cohan | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 1.1% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 8.8% | 15.5% | 36.4% | 21.5% |
| Giselle Hood | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 7.4% | 16.4% | 66.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.