← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Brown University2.63+2.93vs Predicted
-
2Cornell University2.32+2.76vs Predicted
-
3Stanford University2.16+2.29vs Predicted
-
4College of Charleston1.68+2.85vs Predicted
-
5Roger Williams University1.50+2.30vs Predicted
-
6Bowdoin College1.49+1.64vs Predicted
-
7Harvard University1.69-0.17vs Predicted
-
8Tulane University1.59-0.97vs Predicted
-
9Jacksonville University0.84+0.91vs Predicted
-
10Columbia University0.45+1.07vs Predicted
-
11Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.17-2.32vs Predicted
-
12George Washington University0.23-0.24vs Predicted
-
13U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.93-3.45vs Predicted
-
14Boston College0.16-1.85vs Predicted
-
15U. S. Naval Academy0.70-4.76vs Predicted
-
16University of Wisconsin-1.58-0.15vs Predicted
-
17Boston University-0.61-2.85vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.93Brown University2.630.2%1st Place
-
4.76Cornell University2.320.1%1st Place
-
5.29Stanford University2.160.1%1st Place
-
6.85College of Charleston1.680.1%1st Place
-
7.3Roger Williams University1.500.1%1st Place
-
7.64Bowdoin College1.490.1%1st Place
-
6.83Harvard University1.690.1%1st Place
-
7.03Tulane University1.590.1%1st Place
-
9.91Jacksonville University0.840.0%1st Place
-
11.07Columbia University0.450.0%1st Place
-
8.68Hobart and William Smith Colleges1.170.0%1st Place
-
11.76George Washington University0.230.0%1st Place
-
9.55U. S. Coast Guard Academy0.930.0%1st Place
-
12.15Boston College0.160.0%1st Place
-
10.24U. S. Naval Academy0.700.0%1st Place
-
15.85University of Wisconsin-1.580.0%1st Place
-
14.15Boston University-0.610.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Laura Hamilton | 20.0% | 16.2% | 15.4% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Devling | 14.5% | 13.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.4% | 7.5% | 8.3% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alice Schmid | 11.5% | 11.7% | 12.4% | 10.1% | 11.2% | 10.5% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Alfortish | 8.5% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 8.6% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Tavia Smith | 5.9% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.5% | 4.3% | 3.7% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Kyra Phelan | 5.8% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 7.5% | 8.0% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 5.3% | 4.5% | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Sophia Montgomery | 7.2% | 7.0% | 8.2% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 9.4% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gabriela Vassel | 8.1% | 7.4% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Fiona Froelich | 2.5% | 3.9% | 2.9% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 9.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 9.4% | 9.0% | 8.1% | 4.9% | 0.8% |
| Eva DeCastro | 1.9% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 11.2% | 6.3% | 10.9% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 8.5% | 2.5% |
| Sabrina Starck | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.9% | 5.3% | 6.4% | 5.6% | 6.1% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Hayden Clary | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 3.6% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 4.3% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 12.8% | 16.1% | 12.6% | 4.0% |
| Madeline Murphy | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 4.5% | 0.6% |
| Kennedy Laureigh | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 6.8% | 6.8% | 10.0% | 12.1% | 15.9% | 15.0% | 5.8% |
| Josephine Sherry | 2.5% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.0% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 9.0% | 5.0% | 1.5% |
| Phoebe Milhollin | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 63.9% |
| Bailey Kreszswick | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 5.2% | 7.4% | 8.1% | 12.3% | 30.2% | 20.7% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.