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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.43+3.55vs Predicted
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2Tufts University1.62+5.21vs Predicted
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3Northeastern University2.03+2.91vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.37+0.96vs Predicted
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5University of Rhode Island1.84+1.40vs Predicted
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6Old Dominion University0.81+4.42vs Predicted
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7Rollins College0.64+3.87vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.48-3.45vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.81vs Predicted
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10Clemson University0.29+2.01vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.36+0.90vs Predicted
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12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-1.58vs Predicted
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13Fordham University-0.08+0.27vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-5.62vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.79vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.65-5.08vs Predicted
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17University of South Florida0.94-7.17vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.55Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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7.21Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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5.91Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.96Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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6.4University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.42Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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10.87Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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4.55Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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8.19University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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12.01Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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11.9Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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10.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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13.27Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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13.21Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.92North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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9.83University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bella casaretto | 16.6% | 13.8% | 14.1% | 9.0% | 12.0% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 3.2% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.5% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 7.9% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 6.3% | 6.9% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 3.3% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 10.0% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 9.5% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.4% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 4.9% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.8% | 8.1% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.5% | 8.4% | 9.1% | 6.6% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.1% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 3.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 6.5% | 4.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.9% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.2% | 5.9% | 8.6% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 10.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 5.2% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.4% | 14.5% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 9.8% | 7.1% | 6.7% | 4.2% | 3.2% | 2.4% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.7% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.9% | 0.7% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.7% | 1.8% | 1.9% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.5% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 8.7% | 12.4% | 13.2% | 10.7% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.1% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.7% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 10.2% | 14.4% | 12.2% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.7% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 8.2% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 7.3% | 4.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 24.5% |
| Brooke Barry | 3.9% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 6.6% | 5.4% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.8% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.8% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 15.4% | 26.2% |
| Olivia Burdette | 1.9% | 1.7% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 2.8% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.7% | 3.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.