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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.9
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+3.42vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+3.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.37+1.85vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+0.77vs Predicted
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5Rollins College0.64+5.66vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island1.84+0.73vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University0.81+3.25vs Predicted
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8Clemson University0.29+3.82vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania1.41-0.80vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida0.94-0.31vs Predicted
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11Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-2.56vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+1.31vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.36-1.08vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.08-0.70vs Predicted
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15St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75-4.55vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.65-5.02vs Predicted
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17Tufts University1.62-9.62vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.84Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.85Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.77Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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10.66Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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6.73University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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10.25Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.82Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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8.2University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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9.69University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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8.44Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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13.31Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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11.92Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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13.3Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.45St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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10.98North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.38Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.7% | 14.7% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 5.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.7% | 10.8% | 9.9% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.8% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 5.3% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.5% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 11.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 15.6% | 13.0% | 12.8% | 13.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 5.2% | 3.4% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 8.8% | 5.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.9% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 5.5% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 10.1% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.6% |
| Ashton Loring | 2.5% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.8% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 8.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 2.2% | 0.7% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 3.3% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 7.8% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 3.4% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.3% | 5.7% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 8.7% | 7.3% | 5.1% | 7.2% | 4.0% | 2.7% | 0.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.2% | 18.3% | 24.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.0% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 12.8% | 12.7% | 11.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.3% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 16.8% | 25.1% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 6.4% | 5.4% |
| Olivia Burdette | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 7.8% | 11.1% | 8.1% | 6.7% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.1% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 7.6% | 7.9% | 6.2% | 6.1% | 5.1% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.