← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Northeastern University2.03+4.64vs Predicted
-
2Tufts University1.62+5.05vs Predicted
-
3Old Dominion University0.81+7.06vs Predicted
-
4University of Rhode Island1.84+2.48vs Predicted
-
5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+2.90vs Predicted
-
6University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.08vs Predicted
-
7Yale University2.48-2.58vs Predicted
-
8Fordham University-0.08+4.73vs Predicted
-
9Georgetown University2.37-4.11vs Predicted
-
10Clemson University0.29+1.79vs Predicted
-
11North Carolina State University0.65-0.32vs Predicted
-
12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-1.31vs Predicted
-
13Dartmouth College2.43-8.34vs Predicted
-
14Connecticut College0.36-2.27vs Predicted
-
15University of South Florida0.11-2.64vs Predicted
-
16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.83vs Predicted
-
17Rollins College0.64-6.33vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
5.64Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
-
7.05Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
-
10.06Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
-
6.48University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
-
7.9Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
-
8.08University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
-
4.42Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
-
12.73Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
-
4.89Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
-
11.79Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
-
10.68North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
-
10.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
-
4.66Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
-
11.73Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
-
12.36University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
-
13.17Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
-
10.67Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 12.2% | 10.4% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 8.1% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 3.1% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.9% | 6.7% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.9% | 8.6% | 8.3% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.8% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 6.1% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.3% | 9.3% | 8.0% | 5.5% | 3.1% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.6% | 10.2% | 8.0% | 7.7% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.4% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 6.0% | 6.4% | 10.4% | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 7.1% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 0.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.2% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.6% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 15.6% | 14.6% | 14.1% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 8.6% | 6.7% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.9% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 10.2% | 16.2% | 20.4% |
| Kelly Bates | 12.1% | 14.4% | 12.6% | 13.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.9% | 8.3% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 10.2% |
| Olivia Burdette | 2.7% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.6% | 3.3% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 6.0% | 6.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 11.0% | 8.8% | 7.5% | 6.1% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 5.5% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.6% | 5.4% |
| bella casaretto | 15.8% | 12.2% | 14.0% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 1.4% | 1.6% | 3.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 12.7% | 11.0% | 9.7% |
| Sara Menesale | 1.2% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 4.7% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 15.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 6.8% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 17.0% | 22.0% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.8% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 9.0% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 6.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.