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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.62+5.95vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.43+2.51vs Predicted
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3University of Rhode Island1.84+3.41vs Predicted
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4Northeastern University2.03+1.87vs Predicted
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5Yale University2.48-0.62vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37-1.08vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.36+4.55vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34-0.04vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University0.81+1.13vs Predicted
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10University of Pennsylvania1.41-2.21vs Predicted
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11North Carolina State University0.65-0.28vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.64-1.40vs Predicted
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13St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-2.26vs Predicted
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14University of South Florida0.11-1.48vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.29-3.20vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-2.86vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.08-3.98vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.95Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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4.51Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.41University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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5.87Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.38Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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4.92Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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11.55Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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7.96Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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10.13Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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7.79University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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10.72North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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10.6Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.74St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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12.52University of South Florida0.110.0%1st Place
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11.8Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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13.14Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.02Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ella Hubbard | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 16.5% | 14.8% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 10.3% | 7.0% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.1% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 6.1% | 3.3% | 2.3% | 1.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.7% | 9.7% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 9.4% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 7.3% | 7.7% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 17.6% | 15.0% | 15.3% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 6.9% | 4.9% | 3.3% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.2% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 9.4% | 10.5% | 8.2% | 8.0% | 5.4% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lilly Saffer | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 10.3% | 10.8% | 10.8% | 8.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.7% | 5.3% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.3% | 3.4% | 2.5% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 9.8% | 7.5% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.7% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.4% |
| Olivia Burdette | 2.9% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.6% | 3.2% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.3% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 7.4% | 9.8% | 9.6% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 5.5% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.9% | 10.6% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.7% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.7% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 9.5% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 6.8% |
| Sara Menesale | 0.7% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 4.6% | 5.5% | 7.6% | 7.0% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 12.3% | 17.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.3% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 10.4% | 11.1% | 11.1% | 11.7% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 6.9% | 8.0% | 9.5% | 11.2% | 15.4% | 21.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 17.2% | 20.9% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.