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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Rhode Island1.84+5.43vs Predicted
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2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+6.32vs Predicted
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3Yale University2.48+1.58vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.43+0.85vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.97vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University2.03+0.16vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University2.37-2.09vs Predicted
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8North Carolina State University0.65+2.71vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.62-1.49vs Predicted
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10St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+0.96vs Predicted
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11Connecticut College0.87-0.74vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida0.94-2.14vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.81-2.57vs Predicted
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14Rollins College0.64-2.87vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.68vs Predicted
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16Clemson University0.29-3.76vs Predicted
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17Fordham University-0.08-3.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.43University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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8.32Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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4.58Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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4.85Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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7.97University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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6.16Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.91Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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10.71North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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7.51Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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10.96St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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10.26Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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9.86University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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10.43Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.13Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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13.32Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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12.24Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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13.35Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 10.4% | 7.7% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 7.8% | 7.0% | 5.9% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.0% | 5.7% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 15.0% | 15.7% | 13.7% | 11.7% | 10.3% | 8.4% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 3.8% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 10.3% | 9.9% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 5.6% | 8.4% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 4.2% | 3.3% | 3.0% | 0.6% |
| Eva Ermlich | 9.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 12.9% | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.6% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 5.0% | 4.8% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Burdette | 4.1% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 4.3% | 3.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 7.5% |
| Ella Hubbard | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.6% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 9.1% | 8.3% | 6.8% | 8.0% | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% |
| Maisy Sperry | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 3.6% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 5.8% | 5.1% | 7.1% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 5.9% |
| Natalie Fear | 3.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 6.3% | 7.1% | 10.0% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 4.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 3.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 5.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 3.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.2% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.4% | 7.6% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.5% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 6.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.6% | 3.0% | 3.2% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.4% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 5.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 6.6% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.0% | 2.0% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.9% | 11.7% | 15.3% | 27.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.8% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 3.2% | 2.8% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.4% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.3% | 13.6% | 12.7% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.0% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 10.5% | 17.7% | 25.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.