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📊 Prediction Accuracy
11.8%
Within 2 Positions
3.7
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+4.85vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+2.83vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University0.81+7.31vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.17vs Predicted
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5Tufts University1.62+2.25vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida0.94+4.08vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+1.38vs Predicted
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8Dartmouth College2.43-3.25vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62+2.12vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-3.47vs Predicted
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11Maine Maritime Academy-0.11+2.42vs Predicted
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12Rollins College0.64-1.09vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.65-2.01vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.87-3.79vs Predicted
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15Clemson University0.29-2.86vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.08-2.65vs Predicted
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17Yale University2.48-12.29vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.85Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.83Georgetown University2.370.2%1st Place
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10.31Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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8.17University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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7.25Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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10.08University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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8.38Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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4.75Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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11.12St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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6.53University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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13.42Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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10.91Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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10.99North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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10.21Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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12.14Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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13.35Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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4.71Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 10.9% | 10.9% | 10.0% | 9.5% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.0% | 6.5% | 4.0% | 3.3% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 15.1% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 10.4% | 9.6% | 8.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 6.5% | 4.6% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.5% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 6.2% | 4.2% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.9% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.1% | 7.0% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 6.5% | 5.7% | 5.6% | 4.5% | 3.6% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.2% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.6% | 4.1% | 4.8% | 7.5% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.0% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 7.3% | 8.7% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| bella casaretto | 16.8% | 13.4% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maisy Sperry | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.3% | 2.7% | 4.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 6.5% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.9% | 7.5% | 9.5% | 9.6% | 10.8% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.1% | 5.0% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.5% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.5% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 7.3% | 8.9% | 8.9% | 15.1% | 29.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 2.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.4% |
| Olivia Burdette | 2.1% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 7.8% | 8.1% | 8.5% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 10.8% | 8.8% | 6.6% |
| Natalie Fear | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.9% | 5.7% | 7.3% | 7.3% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 5.9% | 3.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.7% | 2.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 12.4% | 14.5% | 13.3% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 6.4% | 6.7% | 10.6% | 10.9% | 17.3% | 23.1% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.2% | 16.3% | 12.9% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.2% | 5.8% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.