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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Yale University2.48+3.52vs Predicted
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2Northeastern University2.03+3.89vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.62+4.40vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.41+4.18vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+3.20vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.37-0.92vs Predicted
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7Fordham University-0.08+6.23vs Predicted
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8Rollins College0.64+2.71vs Predicted
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9Dartmouth College2.43-4.08vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island1.84-3.46vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida0.94-1.01vs Predicted
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12Clemson University0.29+0.19vs Predicted
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13North Carolina State University0.65-1.95vs Predicted
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14St. Mary's College of Maryland0.62-2.83vs Predicted
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15Connecticut College0.87-4.92vs Predicted
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16Old Dominion University0.81-5.61vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-3.54vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.52Yale University2.480.2%1st Place
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5.89Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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7.4Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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8.18University of Pennsylvania1.410.1%1st Place
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8.2Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.0%1st Place
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5.08Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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13.23Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.71Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
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4.92Dartmouth College2.430.1%1st Place
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6.54University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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9.99University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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12.19Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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11.05North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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11.17St. Mary's College of Maryland0.620.0%1st Place
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10.08Connecticut College0.870.0%1st Place
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10.39Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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13.46Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 18.1% | 14.0% | 12.8% | 10.2% | 10.0% | 9.8% | 8.1% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 3.7% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Eva Ermlich | 10.1% | 11.5% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.7% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% |
| Ella Hubbard | 6.5% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.5% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 3.1% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| Adra Ivancich | 5.8% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 5.3% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.3% | 7.9% | 8.9% | 6.8% | 6.1% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 4.5% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 8.3% | 6.2% | 7.6% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 4.6% | 3.6% | 2.1% | 1.2% |
| Kelly Bates | 13.2% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 4.6% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 10.1% | 10.9% | 18.3% | 23.1% |
| Shay Bridge | 3.3% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.8% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 8.6% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 7.1% |
| bella casaretto | 13.0% | 12.7% | 14.8% | 12.9% | 9.7% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.7% | 5.3% | 3.9% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 7.1% | 9.8% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 6.2% | 5.9% | 4.9% | 2.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.0% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.2% | 3.7% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.7% | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 8.4% | 6.5% | 10.2% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 6.2% | 3.0% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.5% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 4.5% | 5.4% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.9% | 8.7% | 9.9% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 15.1% |
| Olivia Burdette | 2.7% | 3.4% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 6.4% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 7.4% | 7.4% |
| Maisy Sperry | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.1% | 4.0% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 9.2% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 9.4% | 11.0% | 6.7% |
| Natalie Fear | 3.6% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 3.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 3.0% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.0% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 7.2% | 6.2% | 5.0% |
| Jane Marvin | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 4.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 16.2% | 27.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.