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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.5%
Within 2 Positions
3.8
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Washington2.19+3.63vs Predicted
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2University of Washington0.60+8.08vs Predicted
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3University of Washington1.69+3.25vs Predicted
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4Western Washington University1.88+1.80vs Predicted
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5Western Washington University0.62+4.88vs Predicted
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7University of Oregon1.51+0.09vs Predicted
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8Western Washington University2.20-3.29vs Predicted
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9Western Washington University1.08-0.75vs Predicted
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11University of Victoria0.93-1.84vs Predicted
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12Western Washington University1.62-5.56vs Predicted
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13Western Washington University1.48-5.88vs Predicted
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14University of Washington0.68-4.23vs Predicted
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15University of Puget Sound0.36-3.92vs Predicted
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16University of Oregon0.04-3.89vs Predicted
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17Western Washington University0.38-6.10vs Predicted
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18Western Washington University-1.39-2.53vs Predicted
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19University of Puget Sound-0.76-4.75vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.63University of Washington2.190.2%1st Place
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10.08University of Washington0.600.0%1st Place
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6.25University of Washington1.690.1%1st Place
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5.8Western Washington University1.880.1%1st Place
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9.88Western Washington University0.620.0%1st Place
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7.09University of Oregon1.510.1%1st Place
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4.71Western Washington University2.200.1%1st Place
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8.25Western Washington University1.080.1%1st Place
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9.16University of Victoria0.930.0%1st Place
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6.44Western Washington University1.620.1%1st Place
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7.12Western Washington University1.480.1%1st Place
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9.77University of Washington0.680.0%1st Place
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11.08University of Puget Sound0.360.0%1st Place
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12.11University of Oregon0.040.0%1st Place
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10.9Western Washington University0.380.0%1st Place
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15.47Western Washington University-1.390.0%1st Place
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14.25University of Puget Sound-0.760.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zachary Forcade | 17.0% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 10.7% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 3.6% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jake Antles | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.3% | 5.1% | 5.1% | 6.7% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 8.9% | 5.7% | 1.2% |
| Alyce Flanagan | 9.2% | 9.0% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.4% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Erika Vranizan | 11.1% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 10.1% | 8.9% | 9.0% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 2.9% | 2.9% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Shank | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 1.7% |
| Matt Marquardt | 6.7% | 7.7% | 6.3% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 6.2% | 10.3% | 8.7% | 8.7% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Casey Pruitt | 14.1% | 14.6% | 14.3% | 10.8% | 9.6% | 9.7% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 3.5% | 2.9% | 2.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Ashley Krzeszowski | 5.8% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 6.5% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.0% | 3.9% | 2.0% | 0.0% |
| Ted Alley | 3.1% | 3.9% | 4.4% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 3.6% | 0.8% |
| Ashley Vincent | 7.8% | 9.0% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.4% |
| Taylor Martin | 8.7% | 6.9% | 6.9% | 7.9% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 6.5% | 8.4% | 7.4% | 8.6% | 6.3% | 4.4% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 0.4% | 0.2% |
| Michael Mallory | 3.8% | 3.5% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 10.4% | 9.9% | 8.6% | 3.3% | 1.7% |
| David Eva | 2.6% | 2.7% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 5.5% | 5.2% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 7.9% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 2.8% |
| Laura Marshall | 1.1% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.9% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 5.5% | 6.9% | 9.8% | 11.3% | 16.1% | 14.8% | 6.7% |
| Nick Etscheid | 2.0% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 5.2% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 10.2% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 9.3% | 3.0% |
| Alexander Martin | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.7% | 9.8% | 17.0% | 54.7% |
| Lindsay Maggard | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.9% | 11.9% | 26.1% | 26.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.