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📊 Prediction Accuracy
88.9%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
9
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Wake Forest University0.08+3.56vs Predicted
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2North Carolina State University1.53+0.40vs Predicted
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3Clemson University0.730.00vs Predicted
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4Duke University0.06+0.30vs Predicted
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5University of North Carolina-0.05-0.31vs Predicted
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6University of South Carolina-0.41-0.78vs Predicted
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7University of North Carolina-0.46-1.56vs Predicted
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8-2.02-0.26vs Predicted
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9University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.84-1.36vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.56Wake Forest University0.088.2%1st Place
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2.4North Carolina State University1.5334.9%1st Place
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3.0Clemson University0.7321.7%1st Place
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4.3Duke University0.0610.9%1st Place
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4.69University of North Carolina-0.058.7%1st Place
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5.22University of South Carolina-0.416.8%1st Place
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5.44University of North Carolina-0.466.4%1st Place
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7.74-2.021.2%1st Place
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7.64University of North Carolina at Wilmington-1.841.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnny Perkins | 8.2% | 11.0% | 13.6% | 15.8% | 15.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 5.9% | 1.1% |
| Jacob Usher | 34.9% | 26.7% | 16.7% | 12.0% | 5.9% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nilah Miller | 21.7% | 23.1% | 21.8% | 14.0% | 9.7% | 6.5% | 2.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Ian Hoogenboom | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.5% | 16.4% | 15.7% | 14.3% | 10.7% | 5.3% | 0.5% |
| Kathleen Hale | 8.7% | 9.8% | 12.9% | 14.3% | 15.7% | 15.2% | 14.1% | 7.5% | 1.8% |
| Andrew Ettlemyer | 6.8% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 14.1% | 17.3% | 18.3% | 11.8% | 3.4% |
| May Proctor | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 14.8% | 16.0% | 19.4% | 13.4% | 5.1% |
| Jim Wang | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 9.1% | 25.0% | 47.7% |
| Caswell Kern | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.7% | 6.6% | 10.7% | 30.4% | 40.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.