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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Northeastern University2.03+4.78vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.37+2.82vs Predicted
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3Dartmouth College2.43+1.69vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island1.84+2.62vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania1.41+2.92vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.48-1.28vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.75+3.51vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.34+0.13vs Predicted
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9University of South Florida0.94+0.93vs Predicted
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10North Carolina State University0.65+0.75vs Predicted
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11Clemson University0.29+1.16vs Predicted
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12Tufts University1.62-4.70vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University0.81-2.70vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College0.36-2.04vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.11-1.77vs Predicted
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16Fordham University-0.08-2.74vs Predicted
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17Rollins College0.64-6.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.78Northeastern University2.030.1%1st Place
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4.82Georgetown University2.370.1%1st Place
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4.69Dartmouth College2.430.2%1st Place
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6.62University of Rhode Island1.840.1%1st Place
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7.92University of Pennsylvania1.410.0%1st Place
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4.72Yale University2.480.1%1st Place
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10.51St. Mary's College of Maryland0.750.0%1st Place
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8.13Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.340.1%1st Place
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9.93University of South Florida0.940.0%1st Place
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10.75North Carolina State University0.650.0%1st Place
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12.16Clemson University0.290.0%1st Place
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7.3Tufts University1.620.1%1st Place
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10.3Old Dominion University0.810.0%1st Place
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11.96Connecticut College0.360.0%1st Place
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13.23Maine Maritime Academy-0.110.0%1st Place
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13.26Fordham University-0.080.0%1st Place
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10.92Rollins College0.640.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eva Ermlich | 11.3% | 12.1% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 9.1% | 7.8% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 3.8% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kelly Bates | 15.0% | 13.1% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.3% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 5.4% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.3% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| bella casaretto | 15.4% | 13.3% | 11.9% | 12.3% | 11.8% | 10.3% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Kytalin Hendrickson | 8.6% | 8.4% | 9.0% | 7.1% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 6.5% | 6.3% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Adra Ivancich | 4.6% | 7.2% | 6.7% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 6.2% | 9.8% | 6.0% | 9.3% | 7.1% | 7.5% | 6.3% | 4.9% | 4.9% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Dorothy Mendelblatt | 14.3% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 14.3% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 4.9% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Cho-Cho Williams | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 8.5% | 8.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 4.7% |
| Brooke Barry | 5.6% | 5.9% | 6.6% | 8.2% | 5.6% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 7.1% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 6.8% | 6.5% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 2.3% | 0.5% |
| Ghislaine van Empel | 2.9% | 3.2% | 3.9% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 6.7% | 6.0% | 7.8% | 8.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 8.6% | 7.6% | 5.4% | 2.8% |
| Olivia Burdette | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 6.7% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.3% | 7.8% | 5.5% |
| Ashton Loring | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 7.3% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 12.0% | 15.3% | 13.2% |
| Ella Hubbard | 7.2% | 7.1% | 7.1% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 3.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% |
| Gianna Dewey | 3.4% | 3.3% | 3.5% | 3.1% | 2.9% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 11.0% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 4.6% |
| Lilly Saffer | 0.9% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 2.0% | 3.5% | 4.0% | 4.0% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 12.4% |
| Jane Marvin | 0.7% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 3.0% | 4.5% | 4.4% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 7.1% | 11.5% | 15.3% | 25.8% |
| Anna Robertson | 1.4% | 0.6% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.2% | 4.1% | 5.9% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 10.2% | 10.4% | 16.5% | 22.9% |
| Shay Bridge | 1.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 7.1% | 9.0% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 8.8% | 7.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.