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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.4
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Tufts University1.84+4.37vs Predicted
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2Clemson University-0.72+11.84vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.36+1.07vs Predicted
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4Dartmouth College2.31+0.23vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.27vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15+1.96vs Predicted
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7Connecticut College0.64+2.52vs Predicted
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8Yale University2.13-3.33vs Predicted
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9University of Pennsylvania0.49+1.27vs Predicted
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10Fordham University-0.18+2.31vs Predicted
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11Rollins College1.01-2.63vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University0.12-0.59vs Predicted
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13Old Dominion University-0.34-0.09vs Predicted
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14Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-7.15vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island0.80-6.02vs Predicted
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16North Carolina State University0.28-5.11vs Predicted
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17Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-3.92vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.37Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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13.84Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
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4.07Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.23Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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8.27St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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7.96University of South Florida1.150.0%1st Place
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9.52Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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4.67Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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10.27University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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12.31Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.37Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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11.41Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.91Old Dominion University-0.340.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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8.98University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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10.89North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Maddie Janzen | 12.0% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 10.4% | 10.0% | 9.7% | 9.2% | 8.7% | 7.0% | 4.2% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Madeleine Harris | 0.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 11.1% | 16.9% | 31.2% |
| Emily Doble | 17.7% | 16.8% | 14.9% | 13.9% | 9.1% | 9.5% | 6.7% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 17.7% | 15.8% | 13.2% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.6% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.4% | 6.7% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 6.8% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 7.6% | 8.8% | 8.0% | 5.2% | 6.2% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 2.1% | 0.7% |
| Grace Jones | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.2% | 9.9% | 6.8% | 8.7% | 10.3% | 7.2% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.5% | 0.3% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.7% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.7% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.0% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 9.5% | 6.6% | 2.9% | 1.5% |
| Carly Kieding | 14.9% | 14.2% | 13.3% | 11.8% | 11.2% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 4.7% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 2.5% | 1.9% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 9.4% | 6.9% | 8.2% | 2.2% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.1% | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.9% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 11.0% | 12.6% | 13.9% | 10.8% |
| Annie Samis | 4.8% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 6.6% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 7.5% | 7.6% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 3.6% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 9.6% | 8.4% |
| Arabella Duer | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 15.0% | 17.8% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.1% | 6.8% | 8.3% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 8.6% | 8.1% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 8.1% | 5.8% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.8% | 4.8% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.5% | 6.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.9% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 3.4% | 1.2% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.8% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 1.6% | 4.8% | 5.1% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 6.0% | 7.6% | 8.6% | 8.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 5.4% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.0% | 0.3% | 1.6% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 6.4% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 7.8% | 12.9% | 17.4% | 20.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.