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📊 Prediction Accuracy
17.6%
Within 2 Positions
3.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University2.36+2.99vs Predicted
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2Dartmouth College2.31+2.16vs Predicted
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3St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+5.42vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+4.92vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.71vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+5.57vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University-0.34+5.77vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.49+1.94vs Predicted
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9Tufts University1.84-3.28vs Predicted
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10Yale University2.13-5.39vs Predicted
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11University of South Florida1.15-3.11vs Predicted
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12Rollins College1.01-3.74vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College0.64-3.30vs Predicted
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14Fordham University-0.18-1.51vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.28-4.16vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.95vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.72-3.04vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.99Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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4.16Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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8.42St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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8.92University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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6.71Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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11.57Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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12.77Old Dominion University-0.340.0%1st Place
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9.94University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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5.72Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.61Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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7.89University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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8.26Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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9.7Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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12.49Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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10.84North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.05Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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13.96Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emily Doble | 20.4% | 14.5% | 14.5% | 13.0% | 10.9% | 8.0% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Olivia Drulard | 18.2% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 13.5% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 7.2% | 4.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 9.5% | 8.9% | 6.6% | 7.7% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 2.1% | 0.4% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.6% | 4.2% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 6.2% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 8.4% | 6.0% | 4.4% | 2.6% | 1.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.7% | 9.4% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 5.1% | 4.1% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 4.9% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.7% | 11.0% | 7.2% |
| Arabella Duer | 1.2% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.7% | 7.0% | 12.9% | 14.2% | 14.7% | 15.3% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.5% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 5.5% | 7.3% | 6.9% | 7.5% | 9.1% | 8.7% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% |
| Maddie Janzen | 7.9% | 11.2% | 11.8% | 11.1% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 5.3% | 4.4% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 14.4% | 15.4% | 13.1% | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 7.0% | 6.6% | 3.9% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Grace Jones | 5.4% | 5.5% | 6.6% | 5.5% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 9.5% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 3.5% | 2.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
| Annie Samis | 4.2% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 6.0% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 6.8% | 7.9% | 7.8% | 8.4% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 6.0% | 5.0% | 2.8% | 1.7% | 0.6% |
| Julia Scipione | 3.2% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 3.5% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.5% | 9.8% | 6.3% | 6.2% | 5.6% | 1.7% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.1% | 0.9% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 6.7% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 14.1% |
| Lyla Solway | 2.1% | 2.9% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 2.9% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 9.0% | 11.4% | 8.5% | 8.7% | 5.0% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.4% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 4.8% | 5.0% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 15.0% | 19.8% |
| Madeleine Harris | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 10.9% | 17.8% | 31.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.