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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.18vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+1.98vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.84+2.51vs Predicted
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4University of Rhode Island0.80+4.99vs Predicted
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5Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44+1.67vs Predicted
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6Yale University2.13-1.19vs Predicted
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7St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+1.44vs Predicted
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8University of Pennsylvania0.49+1.98vs Predicted
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9Rollins College1.01-0.63vs Predicted
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10Old Dominion University-0.34+2.85vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.18+1.43vs Predicted
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12University of South Florida1.15-4.23vs Predicted
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13Northeastern University0.12-1.55vs Predicted
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14North Carolina State University0.28-3.02vs Predicted
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15Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.03vs Predicted
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16Connecticut College0.64-6.33vs Predicted
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17Clemson University-0.72-3.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.18Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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3.98Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.51Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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8.99University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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6.67Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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4.81Yale University2.130.1%1st Place
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8.44St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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8.37Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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12.85Old Dominion University-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.43Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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7.77University of South Florida1.150.1%1st Place
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11.45Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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10.98North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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12.97Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.67Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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13.94Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 18.5% | 15.4% | 13.6% | 11.3% | 11.9% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 2.3% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 18.3% | 17.4% | 15.4% | 12.9% | 11.0% | 7.6% | 6.7% | 3.0% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 10.6% | 10.9% | 11.1% | 10.7% | 9.7% | 10.1% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 7.2% | 5.3% | 3.3% | 1.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Molly Coghlin | 4.4% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.1% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 8.0% | 8.5% | 10.6% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 3.9% | 2.2% | 1.4% |
| Karya Basaraner | 6.5% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 8.8% | 7.8% | 10.4% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 4.8% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 13.5% | 12.7% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 10.9% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 5.2% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.1% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.4% | 9.3% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 6.9% | 5.9% | 4.8% | 4.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 5.0% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 9.1% | 8.0% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.0% | 3.1% |
| Annie Samis | 3.6% | 5.6% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 7.8% | 7.6% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.8% | 3.9% | 1.4% | 0.6% |
| Arabella Duer | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 1.6% | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 6.8% | 8.8% | 12.3% | 11.4% | 15.8% | 15.3% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.4% | 7.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 9.5% | 13.6% | 15.4% | 13.4% |
| Grace Jones | 5.7% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 9.1% | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 5.8% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 1.5% | 0.2% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.2% | 2.8% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.1% | 6.0% | 6.8% | 6.3% | 10.7% | 9.1% | 11.0% | 11.9% | 8.4% | 7.8% |
| Lyla Solway | 1.5% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.4% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 10.2% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 8.3% | 4.6% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.0% | 1.1% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 12.7% | 15.2% | 20.1% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.9% | 1.9% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.3% | 7.7% | 7.9% | 8.7% | 9.6% | 7.3% | 9.3% | 7.3% | 5.4% | 5.0% | 1.9% |
| Madeleine Harris | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 3.9% | 4.5% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 17.6% | 31.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.