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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.15vs Predicted
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2Yale University2.13+2.57vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.84+2.49vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.36+0.18vs Predicted
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5St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97+3.32vs Predicted
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6University of South Florida1.15+2.00vs Predicted
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7Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-0.15vs Predicted
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8Northeastern University0.12+3.17vs Predicted
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9Connecticut College0.64+0.72vs Predicted
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10University of Rhode Island0.80-1.13vs Predicted
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11Fordham University-0.18+1.36vs Predicted
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12Rollins College1.01-3.77vs Predicted
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13University of Pennsylvania0.49-2.78vs Predicted
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14Clemson University-0.720.00vs Predicted
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15North Carolina State University0.28-4.11vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy-0.40-2.92vs Predicted
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17Old Dominion University-0.34-4.12vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.15Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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4.57Yale University2.130.2%1st Place
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5.49Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.18Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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8.32St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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8.0University of South Florida1.150.0%1st Place
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6.85Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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11.17Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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9.72Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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8.87University of Rhode Island0.800.0%1st Place
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12.36Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.23Rollins College1.010.0%1st Place
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10.22University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
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14.0Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
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10.89North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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13.08Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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12.88Old Dominion University-0.340.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 17.8% | 16.6% | 13.3% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 7.8% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 3.0% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 15.1% | 14.5% | 11.9% | 13.0% | 11.7% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 10.8% | 10.1% | 13.0% | 9.9% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 8.5% | 8.4% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.5% | 2.2% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.7% | 15.7% | 15.5% | 11.4% | 11.2% | 9.2% | 6.0% | 4.7% | 3.7% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Lina Carper | 3.8% | 6.0% | 6.1% | 6.5% | 5.6% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 7.0% | 8.8% | 7.7% | 6.7% | 4.4% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 0.4% |
| Grace Jones | 4.8% | 5.3% | 6.6% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 8.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 7.9% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 4.2% | 2.0% | 1.4% | 0.2% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 8.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 9.4% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 4.4% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Sylvia Burns | 2.6% | 2.7% | 1.8% | 2.9% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 10.5% | 11.3% | 9.8% | 7.4% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.6% | 3.3% | 3.9% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 5.8% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 8.8% | 9.7% | 8.2% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 3.9% | 1.3% |
| Molly Coghlin | 3.6% | 3.8% | 3.9% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.0% | 8.0% | 7.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 3.6% | 2.5% | 1.3% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 2.3% | 3.9% | 6.3% | 6.1% | 6.2% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 12.5% | 15.8% | 12.8% |
| Annie Samis | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 6.4% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 7.1% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.7% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.5% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 3.2% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 2.2% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 7.8% | 7.2% | 7.3% | 9.2% | 9.5% | 9.8% | 8.5% | 7.4% | 5.6% | 3.2% |
| Madeleine Harris | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.6% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.5% | 4.5% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 12.4% | 18.5% | 30.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 2.0% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 3.6% | 4.4% | 4.8% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 8.4% | 9.8% | 8.2% | 11.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.1% |
| Alma Bewsher | 1.2% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 6.7% | 8.0% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 14.3% | 19.0% |
| Arabella Duer | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 4.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 16.2% | 18.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.