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📊 Prediction Accuracy
29.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Dartmouth College2.31+3.24vs Predicted
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2Georgetown University2.36+2.12vs Predicted
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3Tufts University1.84+2.68vs Predicted
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4Yale University2.13+0.92vs Predicted
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5Connecticut College0.64+4.66vs Predicted
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6Northeastern University0.12+5.79vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.29+0.53vs Predicted
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8Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.44-1.03vs Predicted
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9Maine Maritime Academy-0.40+4.33vs Predicted
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10University of South Florida1.15-2.14vs Predicted
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11Rollins College1.01-2.47vs Predicted
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12North Carolina State University0.28-0.95vs Predicted
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13Clemson University-0.72+1.10vs Predicted
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14University of Rhode Island0.14-2.39vs Predicted
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15Fordham University-0.18-2.48vs Predicted
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16St. Mary's College of Maryland0.97-7.31vs Predicted
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17University of Pennsylvania0.49-6.61vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.24Dartmouth College2.310.2%1st Place
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4.12Georgetown University2.360.2%1st Place
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5.68Tufts University1.840.1%1st Place
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4.92Yale University2.130.2%1st Place
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9.66Connecticut College0.640.0%1st Place
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11.79Northeastern University0.120.0%1st Place
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7.53Old Dominion University1.290.1%1st Place
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6.97Massachusetts Institute of Technology1.440.1%1st Place
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13.33Maine Maritime Academy-0.400.0%1st Place
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7.86University of South Florida1.150.0%1st Place
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8.53Rollins College1.010.1%1st Place
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11.05North Carolina State University0.280.0%1st Place
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14.1Clemson University-0.720.0%1st Place
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11.61University of Rhode Island0.140.0%1st Place
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12.52Fordham University-0.180.0%1st Place
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8.69St. Mary's College of Maryland0.970.0%1st Place
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10.39University of Pennsylvania0.490.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Olivia Drulard | 18.1% | 15.3% | 13.2% | 12.4% | 11.5% | 8.5% | 7.0% | 5.4% | 4.5% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Emily Doble | 17.5% | 16.8% | 14.7% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Maddie Janzen | 9.9% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 8.3% | 10.6% | 9.9% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 6.0% | 3.7% | 2.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Carly Kieding | 15.3% | 12.0% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 11.4% | 7.9% | 6.5% | 4.9% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Julia Scipione | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 5.0% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 7.2% | 7.5% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 5.0% | 2.3% |
| Sylvia Burns | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.3% | 6.4% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 8.9% |
| Esther Ireland | 6.6% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 5.7% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Karya Basaraner | 7.7% | 7.5% | 8.9% | 7.7% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 9.4% | 8.0% | 7.0% | 7.7% | 7.4% | 4.9% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 1.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% |
| Alma Bewsher | 0.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 5.2% | 5.2% | 7.3% | 6.3% | 9.9% | 12.6% | 18.2% | 20.4% |
| Grace Jones | 4.6% | 5.5% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 7.6% | 7.8% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 5.3% | 4.2% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.7% |
| Annie Samis | 5.1% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 6.3% | 5.5% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 6.6% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 7.1% | 6.3% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.7% |
| Lyla Solway | 2.1% | 2.4% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 3.7% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 5.0% | 7.1% | 5.5% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.4% | 8.9% | 11.1% | 9.0% | 5.6% |
| Madeleine Harris | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 1.8% | 3.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 9.5% | 13.2% | 14.2% | 35.0% |
| Ariana Schwartz | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 2.4% | 3.0% | 3.4% | 4.6% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 9.0% | 11.5% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 7.9% |
| Isabela Hillmann | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 3.3% | 4.6% | 3.9% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 11.2% | 11.6% | 15.9% | 14.3% |
| Lina Carper | 3.4% | 4.4% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 5.8% | 6.3% | 8.8% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 8.3% | 7.2% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 3.2% | 0.4% |
| Esme Gonzalez | 1.7% | 3.5% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 2.5% | 5.3% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 7.5% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 10.2% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.1% | 3.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.